Ashton United vs Matlock Town analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
31.1%
Win probability
1.21
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.2%
4-0
0.6%
5-1
0.2%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.9%
3-0
2%
4-1
0.9%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
3.1%
2-0
5%
3-1
3%
4-2
0.7%
5-3
0.1%
+2
8.7%
1-0
8.3%
2-1
7.4%
3-2
2.2%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
18.2%
25.7%
Draw
0-0
6.9%
1-1
12.2%
2-2
5.4%
3-3
1.1%
4-4
0.1%
0
25.7%
43.2%
Win probability
1.47
Expected goals
0-1
10.1%
1-2
9%
2-3
2.6%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
22.2%
0-2
7.4%
1-3
4.4%
2-4
1%
3-5
0.1%
-2
12.9%
0-3
3.6%
1-4
1.6%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
5.6%
0-4
1.3%
1-5
0.5%
2-6
0.1%
-4
1.9%
0-5
0.4%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.5%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+30%
-10%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Ashton United
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 Jan. 2007 |
GUI
2 - 1
ASH
62%
22%
16%
|
33 | 37 | 4 | 0 |
| 06 Jan. 2007 |
ILK
2 - 1
ASH
46%
27%
27%
|
33 | 34 | 1 | 0 |
| 01 Jan. 2007 |
ASH
1 - 0
MOS
56%
22%
22%
|
33 | 31 | 2 | 0 |
| 26 Dec. 2006 |
MOS
1 - 2
ASH
47%
26%
28%
|
32 | 30 | 2 | +1 |
| 16 Dec. 2006 |
ASH
1 - 1
ILK
46%
25%
29%
|
32 | 36 | 4 | 0 |
Matches
Matlock Town
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 Jan. 2007 |
MAT
5 - 1
KEN
52%
24%
24%
|
41 | 36 | 5 | 0 |
| 26 Dec. 2006 |
ILK
1 - 3
MAT
32%
28%
41%
|
40 | 35 | 5 | +1 |
| 09 Dec. 2006 |
FLE
1 - 1
MAT
54%
23%
23%
|
40 | 42 | 2 | 0 |
| 02 Dec. 2006 |
MAT
4 - 1
MOS
57%
24%
20%
|
39 | 33 | 6 | +1 |
| 25 Nov. 2006 |
NOR
0 - 2
MAT
55%
23%
22%
|
38 | 41 | 3 | +1 |