Ashton United vs Buxton analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
48.4%
Win probability
1.78
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.7%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1%
4-0
1.9%
5-1
0.9%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
3%
3-0
4.3%
4-1
2.5%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
0.1%
+3
7.4%
2-0
7.2%
3-1
5.6%
4-2
1.6%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
14.7%
1-0
8.1%
2-1
9.4%
3-2
3.7%
4-3
0.7%
5-4
0.1%
+1
22%
23.2%
Draw
0-0
4.5%
1-1
10.6%
2-2
6.2%
3-3
1.6%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
23.2%
28.4%
Win probability
1.31
Expected goals
0-1
6%
1-2
7%
2-3
2.7%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0.1%
-1
16.2%
0-2
3.9%
1-3
3.1%
2-4
0.9%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
8%
0-3
1.7%
1-4
1%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
3%
0-4
0.6%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0.1%
-4
0.9%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
1-7
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-2%
+12%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Ashton United
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 Sep. 2011 |
MAR
1 - 0
ASH
64%
20%
16%
|
38 | 45 | 7 | 0 |
| 14 Sep. 2011 |
WHI
2 - 2
ASH
41%
25%
34%
|
39 | 34 | 5 | -1 |
| 10 Sep. 2011 |
ASH
1 - 2
HED
26%
24%
50%
|
40 | 51 | 11 | -1 |
| 07 Sep. 2011 |
ASH
0 - 2
CHE
32%
25%
43%
|
41 | 50 | 9 | -1 |
| 03 Sep. 2011 |
FRI
0 - 1
ASH
24%
26%
50%
|
40 | 34 | 6 | +1 |
Matches
Buxton
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 Sep. 2011 |
BUX
2 - 0
MIC
53%
23%
25%
|
38 | 36 | 2 | 0 |
| 14 Sep. 2011 |
BUX
0 - 4
MAR
38%
26%
36%
|
40 | 43 | 3 | -2 |
| 10 Sep. 2011 |
NOR
1 - 4
BUX
56%
23%
21%
|
38 | 42 | 4 | +2 |
| 07 Sep. 2011 |
WOR
2 - 1
BUX
44%
25%
31%
|
39 | 38 | 1 | -1 |
| 03 Sep. 2011 |
BUX
4 - 3
NAN
41%
24%
35%
|
38 | 38 | 0 | +1 |