Ashton United vs Bradford Park Avenue analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
19.1%
Win probability
0.95
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.2%
5-1
0.1%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.3%
3-0
0.9%
4-1
0.4%
5-2
0.1%
+3
1.3%
2-0
2.8%
3-1
1.6%
4-2
0.4%
5-3
<0%
+2
4.8%
1-0
5.8%
2-1
5.1%
3-2
1.5%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
12.7%
22.6%
Draw
0-0
6.1%
1-1
10.7%
2-2
4.7%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
22.6%
58.3%
Win probability
1.84
Expected goals
0-1
11.3%
1-2
9.9%
2-3
2.9%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
24.5%
0-2
10.4%
1-3
6.1%
2-4
1.3%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
17.9%
0-3
6.4%
1-4
2.8%
2-5
0.5%
3-6
0%
-3
9.7%
0-4
2.9%
1-5
1%
2-6
0.2%
3-7
0%
-4
4.1%
0-5
1.1%
1-6
0.3%
2-7
0%
-5
1.4%
0-6
0.3%
1-7
0.1%
-6
0.4%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+29%
-4%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Ashton United
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02 Mar. 2019 |
ALF
2 - 0
ASH
64%
18%
18%
|
30 | 36 | 6 | 0 |
| 26 Feb. 2019 |
ASH
0 - 1
KID
31%
23%
46%
|
32 | 41 | 9 | -2 |
| 23 Feb. 2019 |
CHO
0 - 1
ASH
72%
18%
11%
|
30 | 47 | 17 | +2 |
| 19 Feb. 2019 |
ASH
3 - 4
AFC
23%
25%
52%
|
31 | 44 | 13 | -1 |
| 16 Feb. 2019 |
ASH
0 - 0
HER
26%
23%
51%
|
30 | 41 | 11 | +1 |
Matches
Bradford Park Avenue
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05 Mar. 2019 |
BRA
2 - 1
LEA
63%
21%
16%
|
43 | 37 | 6 | 0 |
| 02 Mar. 2019 |
BRA
2 - 2
CUR
68%
19%
13%
|
43 | 34 | 9 | 0 |
| 23 Feb. 2019 |
BRA
2 - 0
CHE
56%
23%
21%
|
42 | 39 | 3 | +1 |
| 16 Feb. 2019 |
ALT
1 - 1
BRA
53%
22%
25%
|
42 | 44 | 2 | 0 |
| 26 Jan. 2019 |
BRA
3 - 0
BRA
53%
23%
24%
|
44 | 47 | 3 | -2 |