Ashington AFC vs Belper Town FC analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
53.7%
Win probability
2.11
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.4%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.5%
5-0
1%
6-1
0.5%
7-2
0.1%
8-3
<0%
+5
1.7%
4-0
2.5%
5-1
1.5%
6-2
0.4%
7-3
0.1%
+4
4.3%
3-0
4.7%
4-1
3.4%
5-2
1%
6-3
0.2%
7-4
<0%
+3
9.3%
2-0
6.6%
3-1
6.5%
4-2
2.4%
5-3
0.5%
6-4
0.1%
+2
16.1%
1-0
6.3%
2-1
9.3%
3-2
4.6%
4-3
1.1%
5-4
0.2%
6-5
<0%
+1
21.5%
21%
Draw
0-0
3%
1-1
8.8%
2-2
6.5%
3-3
2.1%
4-4
0.4%
5-5
<0%
0
21%
25.3%
Win probability
1.4
Expected goals
0-1
4.2%
1-2
6.2%
2-3
3%
3-4
0.7%
4-5
0.1%
5-6
0%
-1
14.3%
0-2
2.9%
1-3
2.9%
2-4
1.1%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
7.1%
0-3
1.4%
1-4
1%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
2.7%
0-4
0.5%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0.1%
-4
0.8%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
1-7
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-4%
-12%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
14º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
46
9º
19º
14º
57
1º
9º
7º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
7º
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
81 | 84 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
2º
|
80 | 80 |
2º
|
100% | |
|
3º
|
72 | 72 |
3º
|
100% | |
|
4º
|
70 | 70 |
4º
|
100% | |
|
5º
|
65 | 65 |
5º
|
100% | |
|
6º
|
60 | 60 |
6º
|
100% | |
|
|
7º
|
57 | 57 |
7º
|
38% | |
|
8º
|
57 | 57 |
8º
|
38% | |
|
9º
|
56 | 56 |
9º
|
58% | |
|
10º
|
51 | 55 |
10º
|
58% | |
|
11º
|
50 | 50 |
11º
|
100% | |
|
12º
|
49 | 49 |
12º
|
100% | |
|
13º
|
48 | 48 |
13º
|
100% | |
|
|
14º
|
46 | 46 |
14º
|
100% | |
|
15º
|
40 | 40 |
15º
|
100% | |
|
16º
|
36 | 36 |
16º
|
0% | |
|
17º
|
36 | 36 |
17º
|
16% | |
|
18º
|
35 | 35 |
18º
|
57% | |
|
19º
|
35 | 35 |
19º
|
67% | |
|
20º
|
34 | 34 |
20º
|
67% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Promotion
|
0% | 0% |
|
Promotion play-offs
|
0% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
100% | 100% |
|
Relegation
|
0% | 0% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Ashington AFC
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 Dec. 2023 |
ASH
4 - 0
HEB
39%
23%
38%
|
33 | 38 | 5 | 0 |
| 23 Dec. 2023 |
BRI
3 - 3
ASH
34%
23%
44%
|
34 | 27 | 7 | -1 |
| 19 Dec. 2023 |
SHE
4 - 0
ASH
24%
22%
55%
|
36 | 26 | 10 | -2 |
| 16 Dec. 2023 |
ASH
2 - 4
NEW
52%
23%
25%
|
38 | 36 | 2 | -2 |
| 25 Nov. 2023 |
ASH
0 - 2
LIV
58%
22%
21%
|
39 | 36 | 3 | -1 |
Matches
Belper Town FC
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30 Dec. 2023 |
BEL
5 - 0
GRA
75%
15%
10%
|
33 | 23 | 10 | 0 |
| 26 Dec. 2023 |
SHE
1 - 1
BEL
38%
23%
39%
|
33 | 30 | 3 | 0 |
| 23 Dec. 2023 |
BEL
1 - 1
GBO
65%
19%
17%
|
34 | 28 | 6 | -1 |
| 16 Dec. 2023 |
WIN
0 - 2
BEL
32%
22%
46%
|
33 | 27 | 6 | +1 |
| 25 Nov. 2023 |
BEL
0 - 3
HEB
45%
23%
32%
|
35 | 38 | 3 | -2 |