Ashford Town vs Arlesey Town analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
68.6%
Win probability
2.35
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.3%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.4%
6-0
0.9%
7-1
0.3%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.2%
5-0
2.2%
6-1
0.8%
7-2
0.1%
8-3
<0%
+5
3.2%
4-0
4.7%
5-1
2.1%
6-2
0.4%
7-3
<0%
+4
7.2%
3-0
8%
4-1
4.4%
5-2
1%
6-3
0.1%
+3
13.6%
2-0
10.2%
3-1
7.6%
4-2
2.1%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
20.2%
1-0
8.7%
2-1
9.7%
3-2
3.6%
4-3
0.7%
5-4
0.1%
+1
22.7%
17.8%
Draw
0-0
3.7%
1-1
8.2%
2-2
4.6%
3-3
1.1%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
17.8%
13.6%
Win probability
0.95
Expected goals
0-1
3.5%
1-2
3.9%
2-3
1.4%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
9.2%
0-2
1.7%
1-3
1.2%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0.1%
-2
3.3%
0-3
0.5%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0.1%
-3
0.9%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Ashford Town
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 Aug. 2017 |
CAM
1 - 2
ASH
61%
20%
20%
|
24 | 31 | 7 | 0 |
| 22 Apr. 2017 |
KID
1 - 2
ASH
54%
20%
26%
|
23 | 27 | 4 | +1 |
| 17 Apr. 2017 |
ASH
1 - 0
FAR
14%
19%
67%
|
21 | 37 | 16 | +2 |
| 15 Apr. 2017 |
AYL
2 - 2
ASH
48%
22%
29%
|
21 | 22 | 1 | 0 |
| 08 Apr. 2017 |
ASH
3 - 1
KEM
28%
21%
51%
|
19 | 26 | 7 | +2 |
Matches
Arlesey Town
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 Aug. 2017 |
ARL
0 - 1
MAR
21%
22%
57%
|
20 | 30 | 10 | 0 |
| 22 Apr. 2017 |
PET
2 - 3
ARL
7%
14%
79%
|
20 | 7 | 13 | 0 |
| 17 Apr. 2017 |
ARL
2 - 4
ROY
8%
15%
77%
|
21 | 44 | 23 | -1 |
| 15 Apr. 2017 |
CHA
2 - 3
ARL
42%
24%
34%
|
20 | 19 | 1 | +1 |
| 08 Apr. 2017 |
ARL
0 - 2
AYL
49%
24%
27%
|
21 | 21 | 0 | -1 |