Ashford Town vs AFC Hornchurch analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
25.5%
Win probability
1.12
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.4%
5-1
0.1%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.6%
3-0
1.4%
4-1
0.7%
5-2
0.1%
6-3
<0%
+3
2.2%
2-0
3.8%
3-1
2.4%
4-2
0.6%
5-3
0.1%
+2
6.9%
1-0
6.9%
2-1
6.4%
3-2
2%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
15.6%
24.3%
Draw
0-0
6.2%
1-1
11.5%
2-2
5.4%
3-3
1.1%
4-4
0.1%
0
24.3%
50.3%
Win probability
1.67
Expected goals
0-1
10.3%
1-2
9.6%
2-3
3%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0%
-1
23.4%
0-2
8.6%
1-3
5.3%
2-4
1.2%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
15.3%
0-3
4.8%
1-4
2.2%
2-5
0.4%
3-6
0%
-3
7.5%
0-4
2%
1-5
0.7%
2-6
0.1%
3-7
0%
-4
2.9%
0-5
0.7%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0%
-5
0.9%
0-6
0.2%
1-7
0%
-6
0.2%
0-7
0%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-11%
+7%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Ashford Town
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 Apr. 2007 |
ASH
3 - 0
WOR
53%
24%
23%
|
39 | 35 | 4 | 0 |
| 21 Apr. 2007 |
MAR
1 - 1
ASH
52%
25%
23%
|
39 | 45 | 6 | 0 |
| 17 Apr. 2007 |
ASH
1 - 2
TON
47%
26%
28%
|
40 | 39 | 1 | -1 |
| 09 Apr. 2007 |
ASH
1 - 1
SLO
76%
16%
8%
|
40 | 20 | 20 | 0 |
| 07 Apr. 2007 |
EAS
3 - 0
ASH
31%
26%
43%
|
42 | 34 | 8 | -2 |
Matches
AFC Hornchurch
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 Apr. 2007 |
HOR
3 - 0
ILF
81%
13%
6%
|
50 | 24 | 26 | 0 |
| 24 Apr. 2007 |
TIL
0 - 4
HOR
12%
20%
68%
|
50 | 26 | 24 | 0 |
| 21 Apr. 2007 |
WAR
1 - 2
HOR
16%
22%
61%
|
50 | 34 | 16 | 0 |
| 14 Apr. 2007 |
BUR
1 - 2
HOR
15%
22%
63%
|
50 | 30 | 20 | 0 |
| 09 Apr. 2007 |
HOR
2 - 1
CAN
69%
19%
12%
|
50 | 41 | 9 | 0 |