Aserrí vs Cariari Pococí analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
32.8%
Win probability
1.4
Expected goals
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.3%
4-0
0.8%
5-1
0.4%
6-2
0.1%
+4
1.2%
3-0
2.2%
4-1
1.3%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
3.8%
2-0
4.7%
3-1
3.6%
4-2
1%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
9.5%
1-0
6.7%
2-1
7.7%
3-2
2.9%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
18%
24%
Draw
0-0
4.8%
1-1
11%
2-2
6.3%
3-3
1.6%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
24%
43.2%
Win probability
1.64
Expected goals
0-1
7.9%
1-2
9%
2-3
3.4%
3-4
0.7%
4-5
0.1%
-1
21%
0-2
6.4%
1-3
4.9%
2-4
1.4%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
13%
0-3
3.5%
1-4
2%
2-5
0.5%
3-6
0.1%
-3
6%
0-4
1.4%
1-5
0.7%
2-6
0.1%
3-7
0%
-4
2.2%
0-5
0.5%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0%
-5
0.7%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.2%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+23%
+21%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Aserrí
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 Jan. 2017 |
GRE
2 - 1
ASE
74%
16%
10%
|
44 | 54 | 10 | 0 |
| 06 Nov. 2016 |
BAR
1 - 0
ASE
77%
15%
8%
|
44 | 58 | 14 | 0 |
| 30 Oct. 2016 |
ASE
2 - 3
CSU
21%
24%
55%
|
44 | 60 | 16 | 0 |
| 23 Oct. 2016 |
TUR
3 - 0
ASE
43%
25%
33%
|
46 | 43 | 3 | -2 |
| 16 Oct. 2016 |
CAR
5 - 0
ASE
59%
21%
20%
|
47 | 50 | 3 | -1 |
Matches
Cariari Pococí
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 Jan. 2017 |
CAR
1 - 3
CSU
36%
25%
39%
|
50 | 58 | 8 | 0 |
| 06 Nov. 2016 |
CAR
2 - 3
GRE
42%
25%
34%
|
51 | 54 | 3 | -1 |
| 30 Oct. 2016 |
TUR
0 - 3
CAR
35%
24%
41%
|
50 | 45 | 5 | +1 |
| 22 Oct. 2016 |
BAR
2 - 0
CAR
67%
19%
14%
|
51 | 58 | 7 | -1 |
| 16 Oct. 2016 |
CAR
5 - 0
ASE
59%
21%
20%
|
50 | 47 | 3 | +1 |