Santa Maria Cilento vs San Luca analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
46.4%
Win probability
1.9
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.7%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
0.1%
+5
1%
4-0
1.7%
5-1
1%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
3%
3-0
3.7%
4-1
2.7%
5-2
0.8%
6-3
0.1%
7-4
<0%
+3
7.3%
2-0
5.8%
3-1
5.6%
4-2
2%
5-3
0.4%
6-4
<0%
+2
14%
1-0
6.1%
2-1
8.9%
3-2
4.3%
4-3
1%
5-4
0.2%
6-5
<0%
+1
20.6%
22.2%
Draw
0-0
3.2%
1-1
9.4%
2-2
6.8%
3-3
2.2%
4-4
0.4%
5-5
<0%
0
22.2%
31.4%
Win probability
1.53
Expected goals
0-1
5%
1-2
7.2%
2-3
3.5%
3-4
0.8%
4-5
0.1%
5-6
0%
-1
16.7%
0-2
3.8%
1-3
3.7%
2-4
1.3%
3-5
0.3%
4-6
0%
-2
9.1%
0-3
1.9%
1-4
1.4%
2-5
0.4%
3-6
0.1%
-3
3.8%
0-4
0.7%
1-5
0.4%
2-6
0.1%
3-7
0%
-4
1.3%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.4%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-37%
-2%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Santa Maria Cilento
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 Mar. 2021 |
ROC
1 - 1
SMC
17%
20%
63%
|
38 | 26 | 12 | 0 |
| 21 Mar. 2021 |
SMC
1 - 1
PAT
46%
22%
32%
|
38 | 40 | 2 | 0 |
| 07 Mar. 2021 |
CIT
1 - 0
SMC
58%
23%
19%
|
39 | 45 | 6 | -1 |
| 28 Feb. 2021 |
SMC
1 - 1
USC
59%
20%
21%
|
39 | 36 | 3 | 0 |
| 24 Feb. 2021 |
ROT
0 - 0
SMC
41%
22%
36%
|
39 | 37 | 2 | 0 |
Matches
San Luca
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 Mar. 2021 |
PAT
0 - 0
LUC
47%
22%
31%
|
39 | 39 | 0 | 0 |
| 10 Mar. 2021 |
LUC
0 - 0
BIA
63%
19%
18%
|
39 | 34 | 5 | 0 |
| 07 Mar. 2021 |
USC
0 - 1
LUC
33%
23%
44%
|
38 | 36 | 2 | +1 |
| 28 Feb. 2021 |
LUC
1 - 0
ROC
68%
18%
14%
|
38 | 33 | 5 | 0 |
| 24 Feb. 2021 |
GEL
2 - 1
LUC
48%
26%
26%
|
38 | 43 | 5 | 0 |