Vastese vs Recanatese analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
45%
Win probability
1.7
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
8-1
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.5%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.8%
4-0
1.6%
5-1
0.7%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
2.5%
3-0
3.7%
4-1
2.2%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
0.1%
+3
6.5%
2-0
6.6%
3-1
5.2%
4-2
1.5%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
13.6%
1-0
7.8%
2-1
9.2%
3-2
3.6%
4-3
0.7%
5-4
0.1%
+1
21.3%
23.6%
Draw
0-0
4.6%
1-1
10.8%
2-2
6.3%
3-3
1.7%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
23.6%
31.4%
Win probability
1.38
Expected goals
0-1
6.3%
1-2
7.5%
2-3
2.9%
3-4
0.6%
4-5
0.1%
-1
17.4%
0-2
4.4%
1-3
3.4%
2-4
1%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
9%
0-3
2%
1-4
1.2%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
3.5%
0-4
0.7%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0.1%
-4
1.1%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.3%
0-6
0%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Vastese
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 Apr. 2018 |
CAM
1 - 0
ASD
36%
24%
40%
|
28 | 25 | 3 | 0 |
| 15 Apr. 2018 |
ASD
1 - 2
FRA
43%
24%
33%
|
29 | 33 | 4 | -1 |
| 08 Apr. 2018 |
CAS
1 - 2
ASD
40%
24%
37%
|
27 | 26 | 1 | +2 |
| 29 Mar. 2018 |
ASD
3 - 1
FAB
81%
13%
7%
|
27 | 17 | 10 | 0 |
| 25 Mar. 2018 |
OLY
2 - 0
ASD
48%
22%
29%
|
29 | 30 | 1 | -2 |
Matches
Recanatese
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 Apr. 2018 |
REC
2 - 1
MAT
22%
24%
55%
|
27 | 42 | 15 | 0 |
| 15 Apr. 2018 |
AVE
3 - 0
REC
68%
20%
13%
|
29 | 37 | 8 | -2 |
| 08 Apr. 2018 |
REC
1 - 4
SAN
46%
25%
29%
|
30 | 32 | 2 | -1 |
| 29 Mar. 2018 |
REC
2 - 1
LAQ
29%
25%
46%
|
28 | 37 | 9 | +2 |
| 25 Mar. 2018 |
SAN
0 - 1
REC
52%
24%
24%
|
27 | 28 | 1 | +1 |