Vastese vs Recanatese analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
60.8%
Win probability
2.21
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
<0%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.6%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.8%
5-0
1.5%
6-1
0.6%
7-2
0.1%
8-3
<0%
+5
2.3%
4-0
3.4%
5-1
1.8%
6-2
0.4%
7-3
<0%
+4
5.6%
3-0
6.1%
4-1
4%
5-2
1%
6-3
0.1%
7-4
<0%
+3
11.3%
2-0
8.2%
3-1
7.2%
4-2
2.3%
5-3
0.4%
6-4
<0%
+2
18.2%
1-0
7.4%
2-1
9.7%
3-2
4.2%
4-3
0.9%
5-4
0.1%
6-5
<0%
+1
22.4%
19.8%
Draw
0-0
3.4%
1-1
8.8%
2-2
5.7%
3-3
1.7%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
19.8%
19.3%
Win probability
1.18
Expected goals
0-1
4%
1-2
5.2%
2-3
2.2%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0.1%
-1
11.9%
0-2
2.3%
1-3
2%
2-4
0.7%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
5.2%
0-3
0.9%
1-4
0.6%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
1.7%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.4%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-20%
-10%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Vastese
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 Sep. 2016 |
FER
0 - 2
ASD
56%
21%
23%
|
31 | 35 | 4 | 0 |
| 18 Sep. 2016 |
ASD
2 - 2
MON
70%
17%
13%
|
31 | 23 | 8 | 0 |
| 11 Sep. 2016 |
SAN
4 - 4
ASD
65%
18%
17%
|
31 | 38 | 7 | 0 |
| 28 Aug. 2016 |
SAN
2 - 1
ASD
38%
22%
39%
|
31 | 27 | 4 | 0 |
| 21 Aug. 2016 |
PIN
1 - 2
ASD
53%
21%
26%
|
30 | 34 | 4 | +1 |
Matches
Recanatese
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 Sep. 2016 |
CAS
1 - 1
REC
36%
25%
39%
|
30 | 27 | 3 | 0 |
| 25 Sep. 2016 |
REC
1 - 1
ALF
73%
17%
11%
|
30 | 17 | 13 | 0 |
| 11 Sep. 2016 |
REC
1 - 0
SAM
29%
24%
47%
|
28 | 35 | 7 | +2 |
| 04 Sep. 2016 |
JES
2 - 0
REC
42%
26%
32%
|
30 | 27 | 3 | -2 |
| 28 Aug. 2016 |
JES
1 - 1
REC
41%
26%
33%
|
28 | 27 | 1 | +2 |