Vastese vs Aprilia analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
62.1%
Win probability
2.04
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.5%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.6%
5-0
1.4%
6-1
0.5%
7-2
0.1%
+5
2%
4-0
3.5%
5-1
1.4%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
5.2%
3-0
7%
4-1
3.4%
5-2
0.7%
6-3
0.1%
+3
11.2%
2-0
10.3%
3-1
6.8%
4-2
1.7%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
18.9%
1-0
10.1%
2-1
9.9%
3-2
3.3%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
0.1%
+1
23.9%
20.7%
Draw
0-0
4.9%
1-1
9.8%
2-2
4.8%
3-3
1.1%
4-4
0.1%
5-5
<0%
0
20.7%
17.2%
Win probability
0.97
Expected goals
0-1
4.8%
1-2
4.7%
2-3
1.6%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
11.4%
0-2
2.3%
1-3
1.5%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0%
-2
4.3%
0-3
0.8%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.2%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-15%
-5%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Vastese
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 Apr. 2021 |
CAM
0 - 0
ASD
61%
22%
17%
|
35 | 43 | 8 | 0 |
| 14 Apr. 2021 |
ASD
1 - 2
MAT
43%
23%
34%
|
36 | 37 | 1 | -1 |
| 28 Feb. 2021 |
ASD
2 - 2
SFF
61%
21%
18%
|
36 | 30 | 6 | 0 |
| 24 Feb. 2021 |
GIU
1 - 1
ASD
13%
21%
66%
|
36 | 21 | 15 | 0 |
| 20 Feb. 2021 |
ASD
0 - 0
RIE
46%
24%
30%
|
36 | 36 | 0 | 0 |
Matches
Aprilia
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 Apr. 2021 |
APR
0 - 5
REC
46%
25%
29%
|
32 | 33 | 1 | 0 |
| 14 Apr. 2021 |
SEL
1 - 4
APR
18%
22%
61%
|
31 | 17 | 14 | +1 |
| 01 Apr. 2021 |
UST
2 - 2
APR
64%
19%
17%
|
31 | 35 | 4 | 0 |
| 28 Mar. 2021 |
APR
0 - 1
SAN
29%
25%
46%
|
32 | 41 | 9 | -1 |
| 07 Mar. 2021 |
APR
0 - 0
MAT
38%
23%
40%
|
32 | 35 | 3 | 0 |