Troina vs San Luca analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
24.8%
Win probability
1.24
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.4%
5-1
0.2%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.7%
3-0
1.4%
4-1
0.8%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
2.4%
2-0
3.3%
3-1
2.6%
4-2
0.8%
5-3
0.1%
6-4
<0%
+2
6.8%
1-0
5.3%
2-1
6.3%
3-2
2.5%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
0.1%
+1
14.7%
22.3%
Draw
0-0
4.3%
1-1
10.2%
2-2
6%
3-3
1.6%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
22.3%
52.9%
Win probability
1.9
Expected goals
0-1
8.2%
1-2
9.7%
2-3
3.8%
3-4
0.8%
4-5
0.1%
-1
22.5%
0-2
7.8%
1-3
6.1%
2-4
1.8%
3-5
0.3%
4-6
0%
-2
16.1%
0-3
4.9%
1-4
2.9%
2-5
0.7%
3-6
0.1%
-3
8.7%
0-4
2.4%
1-5
1.1%
2-6
0.2%
3-7
0%
-4
3.7%
0-5
0.9%
1-6
0.4%
2-7
0.1%
-5
1.3%
0-6
0.3%
1-7
0.1%
2-8
0%
-6
0.4%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Troina
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 Dec. 2020 |
DAT
2 - 1
ASD
57%
21%
22%
|
31 | 32 | 1 | 0 |
| 22 Nov. 2020 |
ROC
1 - 0
ASD
35%
26%
39%
|
32 | 26 | 6 | -1 |
| 18 Oct. 2020 |
ASD
1 - 0
GEL
37%
26%
37%
|
31 | 33 | 2 | +1 |
| 11 Oct. 2020 |
CIT
1 - 0
ASD
62%
21%
17%
|
31 | 37 | 6 | 0 |
| 04 Oct. 2020 |
ASD
0 - 0
ACI
27%
24%
49%
|
31 | 37 | 6 | 0 |
Matches
San Luca
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 Dec. 2020 |
LUC
3 - 2
REN
57%
20%
23%
|
35 | 32 | 3 | 0 |
| 20 Dec. 2020 |
LIC
1 - 0
LUC
51%
21%
28%
|
36 | 36 | 0 | -1 |
| 13 Dec. 2020 |
LUC
0 - 0
SMC
44%
22%
35%
|
36 | 37 | 1 | 0 |
| 04 Nov. 2020 |
LUC
1 - 0
USC
50%
21%
29%
|
35 | 35 | 0 | +1 |
| 01 Nov. 2020 |
LUC
1 - 1
PAT
34%
24%
42%
|
34 | 40 | 6 | +1 |