Terranuova Traiana vs SS Arezzo analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
10.6%
Win probability
0.89
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
+5
<0%
4-0
0.1%
5-1
<0%
+4
0.1%
3-0
0.4%
4-1
0.2%
5-2
<0%
+3
0.6%
2-0
1.2%
3-1
0.9%
4-2
0.3%
5-3
<0%
+2
2.5%
1-0
2.7%
2-1
3.1%
3-2
1.2%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
7.3%
15.4%
Draw
0-0
3%
1-1
7%
2-2
4.1%
3-3
1.1%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
15.4%
74%
Win probability
2.61
Expected goals
0-1
7.9%
1-2
9.2%
2-3
3.6%
3-4
0.7%
4-5
0.1%
-1
21.4%
0-2
10.3%
1-3
8%
2-4
2.3%
3-5
0.4%
4-6
0%
-2
20.9%
0-3
8.9%
1-4
5.2%
2-5
1.2%
3-6
0.2%
4-7
0%
-3
15.5%
0-4
5.8%
1-5
2.7%
2-6
0.5%
3-7
0.1%
-4
9.1%
0-5
3%
1-6
1.2%
2-7
0.2%
3-8
0%
-5
4.4%
0-6
1.3%
1-7
0.4%
2-8
0.1%
-6
1.8%
0-7
0.5%
1-8
0.1%
2-9
0%
-7
0.6%
0-8
0.2%
1-9
0%
-8
0.2%
0-9
0%
1-10
0%
-9
0.1%
0-10
0%
-10
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
16º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
35
6º
18º
16º
69
1º
2º
1º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
1º
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
|
1º
|
69 | 70 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
2º
|
60 | 61 |
2º
|
98.5% | |
|
3º
|
57 | 58 |
3º
|
64% | |
|
4º
|
55 | 58 |
4º
|
65.5% | |
|
5º
|
46 | 49 |
5º
|
83.5% | |
|
6º
|
46 | 46 |
6º
|
68% | |
|
8º
|
43 | 46 |
7º
|
35% | |
|
7º
|
44 | 45 |
8º
|
23.5% | |
|
10º
|
41 | 44 |
9º
|
28% | |
|
12º
|
40 | 43 |
10º
|
22.5% | |
|
9º
|
42 | 43 |
11º
|
21% | |
|
11º
|
41 | 41 |
12º
|
73% | |
|
13º
|
38 | 38 |
13º
|
57% | |
|
14º
|
37 | 37 |
14º
|
0% | |
|
15º
|
37 | 37 |
15º
|
24.5% | |
|
|
16º
|
35 | 36 |
16º
|
52.5% | |
|
17º
|
32 | 32 |
17º
|
26.5% | |
|
18º
|
32 | 32 |
18º
|
26.5% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Promotion
|
0% | 100% |
|
Promotion play-offs
|
0% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
0% | 0% |
|
Relegation play-offs
|
96% | 0% |
|
Relegation
|
4% | 0% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Terranuova Traiana
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 Jan. 2023 |
PRO
2 - 0
ATT
57%
20%
23%
|
24 | 27 | 3 | 0 |
| 15 Jan. 2023 |
ATT
0 - 1
MPO
54%
21%
25%
|
25 | 24 | 1 | -1 |
| 08 Jan. 2023 |
MON
0 - 0
ATT
47%
23%
30%
|
25 | 26 | 1 | 0 |
| 21 Dec. 2022 |
SER
1 - 1
ATT
64%
19%
18%
|
25 | 32 | 7 | 0 |
| 17 Dec. 2022 |
ATT
2 - 2
SSD
48%
22%
31%
|
25 | 25 | 0 | 0 |
Matches
SS Arezzo
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 Jan. 2023 |
ARZ
1 - 1
ACS
71%
19%
10%
|
43 | 32 | 11 | 0 |
| 15 Jan. 2023 |
GAV
1 - 3
ARZ
40%
25%
35%
|
42 | 41 | 1 | +1 |
| 11 Jan. 2023 |
ARZ
1 - 2
PIN
34%
26%
40%
|
43 | 47 | 4 | -1 |
| 07 Jan. 2023 |
ARZ
2 - 0
ORV
84%
11%
5%
|
42 | 22 | 20 | +1 |
| 21 Dec. 2022 |
ARZ
2 - 1
USP
49%
25%
26%
|
42 | 41 | 1 | 0 |