Spezia vs Venezia analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
57.9%
Win probability
1.93
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.4%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.5%
5-0
1.1%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
0.1%
+5
1.6%
4-0
2.9%
5-1
1.2%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
4.4%
3-0
6.1%
4-1
3.1%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
0.1%
+3
9.9%
2-0
9.5%
3-1
6.4%
4-2
1.6%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
17.7%
1-0
9.8%
2-1
9.9%
3-2
3.3%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
23.7%
21.9%
Draw
0-0
5.1%
1-1
10.3%
2-2
5.2%
3-3
1.2%
4-4
0.1%
5-5
<0%
0
21.9%
20.1%
Win probability
1.05
Expected goals
0-1
5.3%
1-2
5.4%
2-3
1.8%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
12.9%
0-2
2.8%
1-3
1.9%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0.1%
-2
5.2%
0-3
1%
1-4
0.5%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
1.6%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.4%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Spezia
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06 Aug. 2023 |
MLL
1 - 1
SPE
49%
26%
26%
|
79 | 82 | 3 | 0 |
| 02 Aug. 2023 |
WOL
1 - 2
SPE
61%
22%
17%
|
79 | 86 | 7 | 0 |
| 26 Jul. 2023 |
SPE
4 - 3
BOC
45%
24%
32%
|
79 | 80 | 1 | 0 |
| 23 Jul. 2023 |
SAS
2 - 3
SPE
73%
16%
11%
|
79 | 86 | 7 | 0 |
| 11 Jun. 2023 |
SPE
1 - 3
VER
47%
25%
29%
|
80 | 81 | 1 | -1 |
Matches
Venezia
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04 Aug. 2023 |
NEC
3 - 1
VNZ
47%
25%
28%
|
76 | 74 | 2 | 0 |
| 01 Aug. 2023 |
DET
2 - 4
VNZ
13%
20%
67%
|
76 | 50 | 26 | 0 |
| 28 Jul. 2023 |
ZWO
1 - 1
VNZ
54%
23%
22%
|
76 | 77 | 1 | 0 |
| 22 Jul. 2023 |
GEN
1 - 4
VNZ
66%
21%
14%
|
76 | 83 | 7 | 0 |
| 27 May. 2023 |
CAG
2 - 1
VNZ
62%
21%
17%
|
76 | 81 | 5 | 0 |