Spezia vs Pro Vercelli analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
61.7%
Win probability
1.76
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.4%
5-0
1.2%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.4%
4-0
3.3%
5-1
0.9%
6-2
0.1%
+4
4.2%
3-0
7.4%
4-1
2.4%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
10.2%
2-0
12.6%
3-1
5.5%
4-2
0.9%
5-3
0.1%
+2
19.2%
1-0
14.3%
2-1
9.4%
3-2
2.1%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
26.1%
22.9%
Draw
0-0
8.1%
1-1
10.7%
2-2
3.5%
3-3
0.5%
4-4
<0%
0
22.9%
15.4%
Win probability
0.75
Expected goals
0-1
6.1%
1-2
4%
2-3
0.9%
3-4
0.1%
-1
11%
0-2
2.3%
1-3
1%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
3.4%
0-3
0.6%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.8%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-1%
+2%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Spezia
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 Feb. 2015 |
PRG
2 - 1
SPE
45%
28%
27%
|
71 | 69 | 2 | 0 |
| 21 Feb. 2015 |
SPE
3 - 2
MOD
43%
27%
30%
|
71 | 73 | 2 | 0 |
| 14 Feb. 2015 |
CAR
0 - 0
SPE
54%
26%
21%
|
71 | 73 | 2 | 0 |
| 07 Feb. 2015 |
ACD
2 - 0
SPE
30%
29%
42%
|
71 | 62 | 9 | 0 |
| 02 Feb. 2015 |
SPE
0 - 1
AVE
53%
25%
22%
|
72 | 69 | 3 | -1 |
Matches
Pro Vercelli
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 Feb. 2015 |
LEO
0 - 0
CAR
30%
30%
40%
|
65 | 73 | 8 | 0 |
| 21 Feb. 2015 |
FRO
3 - 2
LEO
58%
25%
17%
|
65 | 70 | 5 | 0 |
| 14 Feb. 2015 |
LEO
0 - 1
CTT
40%
28%
32%
|
66 | 65 | 1 | -1 |
| 07 Feb. 2015 |
VAR
1 - 1
LEO
56%
24%
20%
|
66 | 67 | 1 | 0 |
| 31 Jan. 2015 |
LEO
1 - 1
MOD
26%
28%
45%
|
66 | 74 | 8 | 0 |