Spezia vs Perugia analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
36.5%
Win probability
1.14
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.2%
4-0
0.7%
5-1
0.2%
6-2
<0%
+4
1%
3-0
2.6%
4-1
0.8%
5-2
0.1%
+3
3.6%
2-0
6.9%
3-1
2.9%
4-2
0.5%
5-3
<0%
+2
10.3%
1-0
12%
2-1
7.6%
3-2
1.6%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
21.5%
28.7%
Draw
0-0
10.5%
1-1
13.3%
2-2
4.2%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
<0%
0
28.7%
34.7%
Win probability
1.11
Expected goals
0-1
11.7%
1-2
7.4%
2-3
1.6%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
20.8%
0-2
6.5%
1-3
2.7%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0%
-2
9.6%
0-3
2.4%
1-4
0.8%
2-5
0.1%
-3
3.2%
0-4
0.7%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.8%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-2%
-3%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Spezia
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 Oct. 2017 |
TER
4 - 2
SPE
38%
30%
32%
|
71 | 64 | 7 | 0 |
| 07 Oct. 2017 |
CES
1 - 0
SPE
46%
28%
25%
|
71 | 69 | 2 | 0 |
| 30 Sep. 2017 |
SPE
1 - 0
BAR
45%
28%
27%
|
70 | 69 | 1 | +1 |
| 23 Sep. 2017 |
SAL
2 - 0
SPE
48%
28%
25%
|
71 | 68 | 3 | -1 |
| 19 Sep. 2017 |
SPE
1 - 0
NOV
48%
27%
25%
|
71 | 68 | 3 | 0 |
Matches
Perugia
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 Oct. 2017 |
USF
2 - 1
PRG
38%
27%
35%
|
74 | 66 | 8 | 0 |
| 08 Oct. 2017 |
PRG
1 - 5
LEO
63%
24%
13%
|
75 | 64 | 11 | -1 |
| 30 Sep. 2017 |
BRE
2 - 1
PRG
32%
28%
40%
|
75 | 65 | 10 | 0 |
| 23 Sep. 2017 |
PRG
1 - 0
FRO
40%
28%
32%
|
75 | 75 | 0 | 0 |
| 19 Sep. 2017 |
PAL
1 - 0
PRG
50%
25%
25%
|
75 | 76 | 1 | 0 |