Spezia vs Olbia Calcio analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
74.3%
Win probability
2.1
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.3%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.3%
6-0
0.9%
7-1
0.1%
+6
1%
5-0
2.5%
6-1
0.5%
7-2
<0%
+5
3%
4-0
5.9%
5-1
1.3%
6-2
0.1%
+4
7.3%
3-0
11.2%
4-1
3.1%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
14.6%
2-0
15.9%
3-1
5.9%
4-2
0.8%
5-3
0.1%
+2
22.7%
1-0
15.2%
2-1
8.4%
3-2
1.6%
4-3
0.1%
+1
25.3%
17.7%
Draw
0-0
7.2%
1-1
8%
2-2
2.2%
3-3
0.3%
4-4
<0%
0
17.7%
8%
Win probability
0.53
Expected goals
0-1
3.8%
1-2
2.1%
2-3
0.4%
3-4
0%
-1
6.3%
0-2
1%
1-3
0.4%
2-4
0.1%
-2
1.4%
0-3
0.2%
1-4
0%
-3
0.2%
0-4
0%
-4
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-23%
-41%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Spezia
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04 Oct. 2009 |
FSD
1 - 1
SPE
20%
24%
57%
|
48 | 30 | 18 | 0 |
| 27 Sep. 2009 |
SPE
4 - 0
LEO
75%
17%
8%
|
48 | 27 | 21 | 0 |
| 20 Sep. 2009 |
SPE
1 - 1
FCC
75%
17%
8%
|
49 | 30 | 19 | -1 |
| 13 Sep. 2009 |
ACS
1 - 1
SPE
21%
24%
56%
|
49 | 32 | 17 | 0 |
| 06 Sep. 2009 |
SPE
3 - 1
UNI
65%
22%
14%
|
50 | 41 | 9 | -1 |
Matches
Olbia Calcio
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04 Oct. 2009 |
OLB
2 - 0
VIL
59%
22%
19%
|
31 | 25 | 6 | 0 |
| 27 Sep. 2009 |
PRO
1 - 1
OLB
49%
26%
25%
|
31 | 32 | 1 | 0 |
| 20 Sep. 2009 |
OLB
1 - 0
FCS
52%
26%
23%
|
31 | 30 | 1 | 0 |
| 13 Sep. 2009 |
UNI
0 - 0
OLB
72%
18%
10%
|
31 | 39 | 8 | 0 |
| 06 Sep. 2009 |
OLB
1 - 1
PAV
50%
25%
25%
|
32 | 31 | 1 | -1 |