Spezia vs Fiorentina analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
22.3%
Win probability
0.96
Expected goals
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.3%
5-1
0.1%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.4%
3-0
1.1%
4-1
0.4%
5-2
0.1%
+3
1.6%
2-0
3.5%
3-1
1.8%
4-2
0.3%
5-3
<0%
+2
5.7%
1-0
7.3%
2-1
5.6%
3-2
1.5%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
14.6%
24.8%
Draw
0-0
7.6%
1-1
11.8%
2-2
4.6%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
24.8%
52.9%
Win probability
1.62
Expected goals
0-1
12.3%
1-2
9.5%
2-3
2.5%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
24.7%
0-2
10%
1-3
5.2%
2-4
1%
3-5
0.1%
-2
16.2%
0-3
5.4%
1-4
2.1%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
7.8%
0-4
2.2%
1-5
0.7%
2-6
0.1%
-4
2.9%
0-5
0.7%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0%
-5
0.9%
0-6
0.2%
1-7
0%
-6
0.2%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-4%
-4%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Spezia
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04 Oct. 2020 |
ACM
3 - 0
SPE
78%
15%
7%
|
69 | 87 | 18 | 0 |
| 30 Sep. 2020 |
UDI
0 - 2
SPE
62%
22%
16%
|
69 | 76 | 7 | 0 |
| 27 Sep. 2020 |
SPE
1 - 4
SAS
29%
26%
45%
|
70 | 79 | 9 | -1 |
| 19 Sep. 2020 |
SPE
5 - 0
PIS
83%
13%
5%
|
71 | 46 | 25 | -1 |
| 20 Aug. 2020 |
SPE
0 - 1
FRO
56%
23%
21%
|
72 | 68 | 4 | -1 |
Matches
Fiorentina
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02 Oct. 2020 |
FIO
1 - 2
SAM
59%
22%
19%
|
82 | 77 | 5 | 0 |
| 26 Sep. 2020 |
INT
4 - 3
FIO
72%
17%
11%
|
82 | 89 | 7 | 0 |
| 19 Sep. 2020 |
FIO
1 - 0
TOR
56%
22%
22%
|
83 | 80 | 3 | -1 |
| 12 Sep. 2020 |
FIO
5 - 1
REG
85%
11%
4%
|
83 | 54 | 29 | 0 |
| 06 Sep. 2020 |
FIO
5 - 0
ASL
89%
9%
2%
|
83 | 43 | 40 | 0 |