Spezia vs Crotone analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
40.1%
Win probability
1.28
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.3%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.3%
4-0
1%
5-1
0.3%
6-2
<0%
+4
1.3%
3-0
3.2%
4-1
1.1%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
4.5%
2-0
7.5%
3-1
3.5%
4-2
0.6%
5-3
0.1%
+2
11.7%
1-0
11.7%
2-1
8.3%
3-2
2%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
22.2%
27.6%
Draw
0-0
9.1%
1-1
13%
2-2
4.6%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
27.6%
32.3%
Win probability
1.12
Expected goals
0-1
10.2%
1-2
7.3%
2-3
1.7%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
19.4%
0-2
5.7%
1-3
2.7%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0%
-2
8.9%
0-3
2.1%
1-4
0.8%
2-5
0.1%
-3
3%
0-4
0.6%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.8%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-6%
-17%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Spezia
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 May. 2019 |
PAL
2 - 2
SPE
58%
24%
18%
|
68 | 74 | 6 | 0 |
| 27 Apr. 2019 |
SPE
1 - 1
PRG
40%
27%
33%
|
68 | 69 | 1 | 0 |
| 22 Apr. 2019 |
NUO
1 - 0
SPE
32%
29%
39%
|
69 | 63 | 6 | -1 |
| 14 Apr. 2019 |
SPE
3 - 2
ASC
51%
26%
23%
|
68 | 64 | 4 | +1 |
| 06 Apr. 2019 |
USF
1 - 0
SPE
50%
25%
25%
|
68 | 67 | 1 | 0 |
Matches
Crotone
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 May. 2019 |
CRO
1 - 0
BEN
42%
26%
32%
|
69 | 70 | 1 | 0 |
| 27 Apr. 2019 |
VNZ
1 - 4
CRO
38%
28%
34%
|
69 | 66 | 3 | 0 |
| 13 Apr. 2019 |
CRO
0 - 0
USC
52%
26%
23%
|
69 | 68 | 1 | 0 |
| 07 Apr. 2019 |
NUO
1 - 0
CRO
28%
29%
44%
|
69 | 62 | 7 | 0 |
| 02 Apr. 2019 |
CRO
2 - 0
PRG
41%
26%
34%
|
69 | 71 | 2 | 0 |