Spezia vs Brescia analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
27.4%
Win probability
0.99
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.4%
5-1
0.1%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.5%
3-0
1.6%
4-1
0.5%
5-2
0.1%
+3
2.1%
2-0
4.7%
3-1
2.1%
4-2
0.4%
5-3
<0%
+2
7.2%
1-0
9.5%
2-1
6.4%
3-2
1.4%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
17.4%
27.4%
Draw
0-0
9.5%
1-1
12.9%
2-2
4.3%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
0.1%
0
27.4%
45.2%
Win probability
1.36
Expected goals
0-1
13%
1-2
8.7%
2-3
2%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
23.9%
0-2
8.8%
1-3
3.9%
2-4
0.7%
3-5
0.1%
-2
13.5%
0-3
4%
1-4
1.3%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
5.5%
0-4
1.3%
1-5
0.4%
2-6
0%
-4
1.8%
0-5
0.4%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.4%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-2%
-3%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Spezia
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 May. 2007 |
PES
0 - 2
SPE
43%
27%
31%
|
61 | 57 | 4 | 0 |
| 28 Apr. 2007 |
CRO
0 - 2
SPE
54%
25%
21%
|
60 | 61 | 1 | +1 |
| 21 Apr. 2007 |
SPE
2 - 2
TRI
40%
28%
32%
|
60 | 63 | 3 | 0 |
| 14 Apr. 2007 |
MOD
4 - 0
SPE
50%
28%
22%
|
61 | 66 | 5 | -1 |
| 07 Apr. 2007 |
SPE
1 - 2
GEN
29%
28%
44%
|
61 | 70 | 9 | 0 |
Matches
Brescia
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 May. 2007 |
MOD
1 - 0
BRE
32%
28%
40%
|
73 | 67 | 6 | 0 |
| 28 Apr. 2007 |
BRE
1 - 0
FRO
62%
23%
15%
|
72 | 61 | 11 | +1 |
| 21 Apr. 2007 |
BRE
1 - 0
LEC
46%
27%
27%
|
72 | 70 | 2 | 0 |
| 17 Apr. 2007 |
PIA
1 - 2
BRE
44%
26%
30%
|
71 | 68 | 3 | +1 |
| 14 Apr. 2007 |
CRO
0 - 0
BRE
31%
25%
43%
|
72 | 62 | 10 | -1 |