Spezia vs Ascoli analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
56.5%
Win probability
1.6
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.8%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
1%
4-0
2.5%
5-1
0.6%
6-2
0.1%
+4
3.2%
3-0
6.2%
4-1
2%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
8.4%
2-0
11.7%
3-1
4.9%
4-2
0.8%
5-3
0.1%
+2
17.5%
1-0
14.6%
2-1
9.3%
3-2
2%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
26.1%
25%
Draw
0-0
9.2%
1-1
11.6%
2-2
3.7%
3-3
0.5%
4-4
<0%
0
25%
18.5%
Win probability
0.79
Expected goals
0-1
7.3%
1-2
4.6%
2-3
1%
3-4
0.1%
-1
12.9%
0-2
2.9%
1-3
1.2%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
4.3%
0-3
0.8%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
1%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-4%
+3%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Spezia
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 Feb. 2017 |
NOV
2 - 1
SPE
42%
28%
30%
|
72 | 67 | 5 | 0 |
| 18 Feb. 2017 |
SPE
2 - 2
TRA
49%
26%
25%
|
72 | 66 | 6 | 0 |
| 11 Feb. 2017 |
LEO
0 - 2
SPE
32%
30%
38%
|
71 | 63 | 8 | +1 |
| 04 Feb. 2017 |
SPE
2 - 0
TER
58%
25%
17%
|
71 | 62 | 9 | 0 |
| 30 Jan. 2017 |
SPE
3 - 2
LAT
51%
28%
21%
|
70 | 66 | 4 | +1 |
Matches
Ascoli
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 Feb. 2017 |
ASC
2 - 4
PIS
60%
24%
16%
|
64 | 62 | 2 | 0 |
| 18 Feb. 2017 |
VIC
1 - 1
ASC
41%
28%
31%
|
64 | 62 | 2 | 0 |
| 14 Feb. 2017 |
ASC
3 - 1
LEO
55%
25%
21%
|
63 | 62 | 1 | +1 |
| 11 Feb. 2017 |
ASC
2 - 2
TRA
42%
26%
32%
|
63 | 66 | 3 | 0 |
| 04 Feb. 2017 |
SPA
1 - 1
ASC
57%
24%
19%
|
63 | 68 | 5 | 0 |