Spezia vs SSC Bari analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
48.5%
Win probability
1.45
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.5%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.6%
4-0
1.7%
5-1
0.5%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2.2%
3-0
4.6%
4-1
1.6%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
6.4%
2-0
9.5%
3-1
4.4%
4-2
0.8%
5-3
0.1%
+2
14.7%
1-0
13.1%
2-1
9%
3-2
2.1%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.5%
26.6%
Draw
0-0
9.1%
1-1
12.5%
2-2
4.3%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
26.6%
24.9%
Win probability
0.95
Expected goals
0-1
8.7%
1-2
6%
2-3
1.4%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
16.2%
0-2
4.1%
1-3
1.9%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
6.4%
0-3
1.3%
1-4
0.5%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.8%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
-4
0.4%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+4%
-3%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Spezia
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 Dec. 2015 |
ASC
3 - 0
SPE
24%
27%
50%
|
73 | 58 | 15 | 0 |
| 23 Dec. 2015 |
SPE
1 - 1
COM
71%
19%
10%
|
73 | 56 | 17 | 0 |
| 19 Dec. 2015 |
BRE
1 - 1
SPE
46%
26%
28%
|
74 | 71 | 3 | -1 |
| 16 Dec. 2015 |
ROM
0 - 0
SPE
80%
14%
6%
|
73 | 87 | 14 | +1 |
| 12 Dec. 2015 |
SPE
2 - 1
LAT
58%
25%
17%
|
73 | 68 | 5 | 0 |
Matches
SSC Bari
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 Dec. 2015 |
TRA
1 - 0
BAR
46%
26%
28%
|
71 | 69 | 2 | 0 |
| 23 Dec. 2015 |
BAR
1 - 2
BRE
44%
27%
29%
|
72 | 71 | 1 | -1 |
| 19 Dec. 2015 |
CAG
2 - 1
BAR
69%
19%
12%
|
72 | 81 | 9 | 0 |
| 13 Dec. 2015 |
BAR
1 - 0
PRG
45%
28%
27%
|
72 | 73 | 1 | 0 |
| 08 Dec. 2015 |
MOD
2 - 1
BAR
34%
29%
37%
|
72 | 67 | 5 | 0 |