Spezia vs Reggiana analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
63.7%
Win probability
2.05
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.5%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.7%
5-0
1.6%
6-1
0.5%
7-2
0.1%
+5
2.1%
4-0
3.8%
5-1
1.4%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
5.4%
3-0
7.4%
4-1
3.5%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
0.1%
+3
11.6%
2-0
10.9%
3-1
6.8%
4-2
1.6%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
19.4%
1-0
10.7%
2-1
9.9%
3-2
3.1%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.2%
20.5%
Draw
0-0
5.2%
1-1
9.7%
2-2
4.5%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
20.4%
15.9%
Win probability
0.91
Expected goals
0-1
4.7%
1-2
4.4%
2-3
1.4%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
10.7%
0-2
2.2%
1-3
1.3%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
3.8%
0-3
0.7%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0.1%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-4%
+2%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Spezia
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04 Nov. 2001 |
SPE
2 - 0
ARZ
63%
21%
16%
|
60 | 53 | 7 | 0 |
| 29 Oct. 2001 |
SPA
1 - 1
SPE
44%
26%
30%
|
60 | 57 | 3 | 0 |
| 21 Oct. 2001 |
SPE
2 - 1
LEC
64%
21%
15%
|
60 | 53 | 7 | 0 |
| 14 Oct. 2001 |
CES
2 - 2
SPE
59%
22%
18%
|
60 | 64 | 4 | 0 |
| 07 Oct. 2001 |
SPE
2 - 1
CAR
67%
20%
13%
|
59 | 51 | 8 | +1 |
Matches
Reggiana
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04 Nov. 2001 |
REG
1 - 1
SPA
41%
28%
31%
|
54 | 57 | 3 | 0 |
| 28 Oct. 2001 |
LEC
0 - 1
REG
44%
26%
30%
|
53 | 53 | 0 | +1 |
| 21 Oct. 2001 |
REG
3 - 1
ASL
30%
29%
41%
|
51 | 63 | 12 | +2 |
| 14 Oct. 2001 |
CAR
2 - 1
REG
41%
26%
33%
|
52 | 51 | 1 | -1 |
| 07 Oct. 2001 |
REG
1 - 2
LIV
23%
27%
51%
|
52 | 65 | 13 | 0 |