Spezia vs Prato analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
63.4%
Win probability
1.75
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.4%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.4%
5-0
1.2%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.5%
4-0
3.5%
5-1
0.8%
6-2
0.1%
+4
4.4%
3-0
8%
4-1
2.3%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
10.6%
2-0
13.6%
3-1
5.3%
4-2
0.8%
5-3
0.1%
+2
19.8%
1-0
15.6%
2-1
9.1%
3-2
1.8%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
26.7%
22.8%
Draw
0-0
8.9%
1-1
10.4%
2-2
3%
3-3
0.4%
4-4
<0%
0
22.8%
13.8%
Win probability
0.67
Expected goals
0-1
6%
1-2
3.5%
2-3
0.7%
3-4
0.1%
-1
10.2%
0-2
2%
1-3
0.8%
2-4
0.1%
-2
2.9%
0-3
0.4%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.6%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+2%
-21%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Spezia
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06 Nov. 2011 |
FER
1 - 1
SPE
23%
26%
51%
|
56 | 44 | 12 | 0 |
| 30 Oct. 2011 |
SPE
0 - 2
POR
36%
28%
36%
|
57 | 60 | 3 | -1 |
| 23 Oct. 2011 |
CAR
2 - 1
SPE
22%
27%
51%
|
58 | 47 | 11 | -1 |
| 16 Oct. 2011 |
SPE
2 - 0
PER
41%
29%
30%
|
57 | 59 | 2 | +1 |
| 12 Oct. 2011 |
VIR
0 - 0
SPE
45%
27%
28%
|
57 | 58 | 1 | 0 |
Matches
Prato
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06 Nov. 2011 |
ACP
1 - 1
CAR
27%
27%
46%
|
42 | 50 | 8 | 0 |
| 30 Oct. 2011 |
FCS
2 - 2
ACP
57%
25%
18%
|
42 | 53 | 11 | 0 |
| 23 Oct. 2011 |
ACP
0 - 0
USC
16%
24%
60%
|
41 | 63 | 22 | +1 |
| 16 Oct. 2011 |
PIA
4 - 3
ACP
79%
15%
6%
|
41 | 64 | 23 | 0 |
| 12 Oct. 2011 |
ACP
2 - 1
LAT
38%
28%
34%
|
40 | 44 | 4 | +1 |