Spezia vs Cesena analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
43.7%
Win probability
1.44
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.4%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.5%
4-0
1.3%
5-1
0.4%
6-2
0.1%
+4
1.9%
3-0
3.7%
4-1
1.5%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
5.6%
2-0
7.8%
3-1
4.3%
4-2
0.9%
5-3
0.1%
+2
13.1%
1-0
10.8%
2-1
8.9%
3-2
2.5%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
22.6%
26.1%
Draw
0-0
7.5%
1-1
12.4%
2-2
5.1%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
26.1%
30.1%
Win probability
1.15
Expected goals
0-1
8.6%
1-2
7.1%
2-3
2%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
18%
0-2
5%
1-3
2.7%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0.1%
-2
8.3%
0-3
1.9%
1-4
0.8%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
2.8%
0-4
0.5%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.8%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Spezia
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 Mar. 2001 |
USA
0 - 2
SPE
43%
27%
31%
|
60 | 56 | 4 | 0 |
| 11 Mar. 2001 |
SPE
2 - 0
ALV
62%
21%
17%
|
59 | 52 | 7 | +1 |
| 04 Mar. 2001 |
LIV
0 - 0
SPE
70%
19%
12%
|
59 | 68 | 9 | 0 |
| 25 Feb. 2001 |
SPE
1 - 2
VAR
57%
24%
20%
|
59 | 59 | 0 | 0 |
| 18 Feb. 2001 |
MOD
4 - 1
SPE
52%
26%
22%
|
61 | 65 | 4 | -2 |
Matches
Cesena
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 Mar. 2001 |
COM
1 - 0
CES
37%
30%
33%
|
67 | 65 | 2 | 0 |
| 11 Mar. 2001 |
CES
1 - 0
REG
61%
23%
17%
|
66 | 57 | 9 | +1 |
| 04 Mar. 2001 |
ALV
1 - 1
CES
24%
27%
49%
|
67 | 51 | 16 | -1 |
| 25 Feb. 2001 |
CES
2 - 2
ABN
68%
20%
12%
|
67 | 57 | 10 | 0 |
| 18 Feb. 2001 |
USA
1 - 1
CES
33%
28%
40%
|
67 | 57 | 10 | 0 |