San Tommaso vs Castrovillari analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
19.6%
Win probability
1.18
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.3%
5-1
0.1%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.5%
3-0
0.9%
4-1
0.6%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
1.7%
2-0
2.4%
3-1
2.1%
4-2
0.7%
5-3
0.1%
6-4
<0%
+2
5.2%
1-0
4%
2-1
5.2%
3-2
2.3%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
0.1%
+1
12.1%
19.9%
Draw
0-0
3.4%
1-1
8.8%
2-2
5.8%
3-3
1.7%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
19.9%
60.4%
Win probability
2.2
Expected goals
0-1
7.5%
1-2
9.7%
2-3
4.2%
3-4
0.9%
4-5
0.1%
5-6
0%
-1
22.4%
0-2
8.2%
1-3
7.1%
2-4
2.3%
3-5
0.4%
4-6
0%
-2
18.1%
0-3
6%
1-4
3.9%
2-5
1%
3-6
0.1%
4-7
0%
-3
11.1%
0-4
3.3%
1-5
1.7%
2-6
0.4%
3-7
0%
-4
5.5%
0-5
1.5%
1-6
0.6%
2-7
0.1%
3-8
0%
-5
2.2%
0-6
0.5%
1-7
0.2%
2-8
0%
-6
0.8%
0-7
0.2%
1-8
0.1%
-7
0.2%
0-8
0%
1-9
0%
-8
0.1%
0-9
0%
-9
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
San Tommaso
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 Feb. 2020 |
PAL
2 - 3
STO
50%
22%
28%
|
20 | 20 | 0 | 0 |
| 09 Feb. 2020 |
STO
0 - 1
ACI
15%
18%
67%
|
20 | 35 | 15 | 0 |
| 02 Feb. 2020 |
ASD
0 - 1
STO
73%
16%
11%
|
19 | 33 | 14 | +1 |
| 26 Jan. 2020 |
STO
0 - 0
SSC
13%
18%
69%
|
18 | 35 | 17 | +1 |
| 22 Jan. 2020 |
ACC
1 - 0
STO
55%
21%
24%
|
19 | 20 | 1 | -1 |
Matches
Castrovillari
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 Feb. 2020 |
USC
2 - 2
MAR
62%
20%
18%
|
32 | 24 | 8 | 0 |
| 09 Feb. 2020 |
USC
5 - 1
ASD
41%
25%
34%
|
30 | 32 | 2 | +2 |
| 02 Feb. 2020 |
PAL
3 - 4
USC
24%
22%
55%
|
30 | 21 | 9 | 0 |
| 26 Jan. 2020 |
USC
1 - 1
MES
48%
24%
28%
|
30 | 29 | 1 | 0 |
| 19 Jan. 2020 |
ACI
3 - 1
USC
56%
21%
23%
|
31 | 36 | 5 | -1 |