ASD Sambiase vs Marsala analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
58.3%
Win probability
1.95
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.4%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.5%
5-0
1.2%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
0.1%
+5
1.6%
4-0
3%
5-1
1.2%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
4.5%
3-0
6.1%
4-1
3.2%
5-2
0.7%
6-3
0.1%
+3
10%
2-0
9.4%
3-1
6.5%
4-2
1.7%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
17.8%
1-0
9.6%
2-1
9.9%
3-2
3.4%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
23.6%
21.7%
Draw
0-0
4.9%
1-1
10.2%
2-2
5.2%
3-3
1.2%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
21.7%
20%
Win probability
1.06
Expected goals
0-1
5.2%
1-2
5.4%
2-3
1.8%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
12.8%
0-2
2.7%
1-3
1.9%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0.1%
-2
5.2%
0-3
1%
1-4
0.5%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
1.6%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.4%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
ASD Sambiase
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 Sep. 2011 |
MES
0 - 2
ASD
51%
25%
24%
|
40 | 41 | 1 | 0 |
| 11 Sep. 2011 |
ASD
1 - 4
ACP
61%
21%
17%
|
41 | 34 | 7 | -1 |
| 04 Sep. 2011 |
ASD
2 - 1
ASD
40%
26%
34%
|
43 | 39 | 4 | -2 |
| 08 May. 2011 |
ACI
4 - 1
ASD
37%
28%
36%
|
44 | 41 | 3 | -1 |
| 30 Apr. 2011 |
ASD
2 - 1
NIS
51%
25%
24%
|
42 | 41 | 1 | +2 |
Matches
Marsala
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 Sep. 2011 |
MAR
1 - 4
SER
50%
24%
26%
|
37 | 34 | 3 | 0 |
| 11 Sep. 2011 |
NOT
2 - 3
MAR
41%
25%
35%
|
36 | 33 | 3 | +1 |
| 04 Sep. 2011 |
MAR
1 - 0
ACR
46%
25%
30%
|
35 | 34 | 1 | +1 |
| 08 May. 2011 |
MOD
0 - 2
MAR
43%
25%
32%
|
34 | 34 | 0 | +1 |
| 01 May. 2011 |
MAR
1 - 0
ACI
29%
26%
45%
|
30 | 41 | 11 | +4 |