Serie D Group I Round 8

ASD Sambiase vs Castrumfavara analysis

ASD Sambiase Castrumfavara
36 ELO 13
-4.5% Tilt -3.4%
5090º General ELO ranking 9519º
181º Country ELO ranking 363º
ELO win probability
83.7%
ASD Sambiase
10.8%
Draw
5.5%
Castrumfavara

Possible results

Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
83.7%
Win probability
ASD Sambiase
3.05
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
0.1%
10-1
<0%
+9
0.2%
8-0
0.4%
9-1
0.1%
10-2
<0%
+8
0.6%
7-0
1.2%
8-1
0.3%
9-2
<0%
+7
1.5%
6-0
2.6%
7-1
0.8%
8-2
0.1%
+6
3.6%
5-0
5.2%
6-1
1.8%
7-2
0.3%
8-3
<0%
+5
7.3%
4-0
8.5%
5-1
3.6%
6-2
0.6%
7-3
0.1%
+4
12.8%
3-0
11.1%
4-1
5.9%
5-2
1.3%
6-3
0.2%
7-4
<0%
+3
18.5%
2-0
10.9%
3-1
7.8%
4-2
2.1%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
21.1%
1-0
7.2%
2-1
7.6%
3-2
2.7%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
0.1%
+1
18.1%
10.8%
Draw
0-0
2.3%
1-1
5%
2-2
2.7%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
0.1%
0
10.7%
5.5%
Win probability
Castrumfavara
0.7
Expected goals
0-1
1.6%
1-2
1.8%
2-3
0.6%
3-4
0.1%
4-5
0%
-1
4.1%
0-2
0.6%
1-3
0.4%
2-4
0.1%
3-5
0%
-2
1.1%
0-3
0.1%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.2%
0-4
0%
1-5
0%
-4
<0%

ELO Graph/Inclination

← Defensive Tilt Attacking →

Points and table prediction

ASD Sambiase
Their league position
Castrumfavara
CURR.POS.
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
54
30
18º
15º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
14º
Expected position in the table
Current table Final expectations
RK PTS. PTS. RK PROB
Siracusa
78
82
56%
Reggina
77
81
56%
SS Scafatese Calcio
65
69
100%
ASD Sambiase
54
57
93%
US Vibonese Calcio
49
53
73%
Nissa FC
46
49
54.5%
Paternò
46
49
62.5%
Ragusa
38
41
22%
Pompei
38
41
28%
Igea Virtus
10º
37
40
10º
24%
Sancataldese
11º
35
38
11º
19.5%
Akragas
18º
0
38
12º
2%
Enna Calcio
12º
35
38
13º
28.5%
Acireale
13º
34
37
14º
18%
Castrumfavara
14º
30
33
15º
37%
Licata
15º
28
31
16º
24%
Cittá Di Sant'Agata
16º
27
30
17º
42.5%
Locri 1909
17º
24
27
18º
70.5%
Expected probabilities
ASD Sambiase
Castrumfavara
Promotion
0% 0%
Promotion play-offs
100% 0%
Mid-table
0% 0%
Relegation play-offs
0% 95.5%
Relegation
0% 4.5%

ELO progression

ASD Sambiase
Castrumfavara
Next opponents in ELO points

Matches

ASD Sambiase
ASD Sambiase
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
20 Oct. 2024
SSS
SS Scafatese Calcio
0 - 0
ASD Sambiase
ASD
63%
18%
19%
35 41 6 0
13 Oct. 2024
ASD
ASD Sambiase
0 - 1
Locri 1909
LOC
45%
22%
33%
36 37 1 -1
06 Oct. 2024
SAN
Sancataldese
2 - 2
ASD Sambiase
ASD
52%
22%
26%
35 43 8 +1
29 Sep. 2024
ASD
ASD Sambiase
1 - 1
Nissa FC
NIS
51%
21%
28%
35 34 1 0
22 Sep. 2024
POM
Pompei
2 - 0
ASD Sambiase
ASD
9%
15%
77%
37 9 28 -2

Matches

Castrumfavara
Castrumfavara
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
20 Oct. 2024
FAR
Castrumfavara
2 - 2
Nissa FC
NIS
10%
16%
74%
10 36 26 0
13 Oct. 2024
PAT
Paternò
0 - 1
Castrumfavara
FAR
78%
15%
8%
9 39 30 +1
06 Oct. 2024
FAR
Castrumfavara
1 - 2
US Vibonese Calcio
USV
17%
22%
61%
9 54 45 0
29 Sep. 2024
LIC
Licata
2 - 1
Castrumfavara
FAR
85%
10%
5%
9 39 30 0
15 Sep. 2024
ACI
Acireale
1 - 0
Castrumfavara
FAR
82%
12%
6%
9 45 36 0