ASD Pontevecchio vs AS Deruta analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
43.2%
Win probability
1.43
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.4%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.5%
4-0
1.3%
5-1
0.4%
6-2
0.1%
+4
1.8%
3-0
3.7%
4-1
1.5%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
5.4%
2-0
7.7%
3-1
4.2%
4-2
0.9%
5-3
0.1%
+2
12.9%
1-0
10.8%
2-1
8.9%
3-2
2.4%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
22.5%
26.2%
Draw
0-0
7.6%
1-1
12.5%
2-2
5.1%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
26.2%
30.6%
Win probability
1.16
Expected goals
0-1
8.7%
1-2
7.2%
2-3
2%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
18.2%
0-2
5%
1-3
2.8%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0.1%
-2
8.5%
0-3
1.9%
1-4
0.8%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
2.9%
0-4
0.6%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.8%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
ASD Pontevecchio
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 Sep. 2011 |
PIA
3 - 0
ASD
57%
21%
21%
|
31 | 36 | 5 | 0 |
| 10 Sep. 2011 |
ASD
1 - 2
SSD
40%
26%
35%
|
32 | 36 | 4 | -1 |
| 04 Sep. 2011 |
ACS
2 - 4
ASD
43%
25%
32%
|
31 | 31 | 0 | +1 |
| 08 May. 2011 |
ASD
1 - 1
SSD
35%
26%
39%
|
30 | 36 | 6 | +1 |
| 01 May. 2011 |
ACM
4 - 2
ASD
28%
24%
48%
|
31 | 24 | 7 | -1 |
Matches
AS Deruta
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 Sep. 2011 |
DER
1 - 2
ARZ
13%
23%
64%
|
30 | 61 | 31 | 0 |
| 11 Sep. 2011 |
PIA
3 - 0
DER
58%
22%
20%
|
31 | 36 | 5 | -1 |
| 04 Sep. 2011 |
DER
1 - 1
VIT
41%
28%
31%
|
31 | 35 | 4 | 0 |
| 08 May. 2011 |
VOL
1 - 1
DER
42%
25%
33%
|
31 | 28 | 3 | 0 |
| 01 May. 2011 |
DER
2 - 1
CAS
26%
24%
51%
|
29 | 38 | 9 | +2 |