OltrepòVoghera vs Derthona analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
73.9%
Win probability
2.48
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.2%
7-0
0.4%
8-1
0.1%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.5%
6-0
1.2%
7-1
0.3%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.6%
5-0
2.9%
6-1
1%
7-2
0.1%
8-3
<0%
+5
4%
4-0
5.9%
5-1
2.3%
6-2
0.4%
7-3
<0%
+4
8.6%
3-0
9.5%
4-1
4.7%
5-2
0.9%
6-3
0.1%
+3
15.3%
2-0
11.5%
3-1
7.7%
4-2
1.9%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
21.3%
1-0
9.3%
2-1
9.3%
3-2
3.1%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
0.1%
+1
22.2%
15.9%
Draw
0-0
3.8%
1-1
7.5%
2-2
3.7%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
15.9%
10.2%
Win probability
0.81
Expected goals
0-1
3%
1-2
3%
2-3
1%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
7.2%
0-2
1.2%
1-3
0.8%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
2.3%
0-3
0.3%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.5%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
OltrepòVoghera
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29 Mar. 2018 |
VAR
0 - 1
ASD
42%
23%
36%
|
31 | 27 | 4 | 0 |
| 25 Mar. 2018 |
ASD
0 - 0
COM
11%
20%
69%
|
30 | 51 | 21 | +1 |
| 18 Mar. 2018 |
OLG
1 - 1
ASD
46%
23%
31%
|
31 | 31 | 0 | -1 |
| 11 Mar. 2018 |
ASD
0 - 0
FOL
39%
24%
37%
|
30 | 34 | 4 | +1 |
| 25 Feb. 2018 |
GOZ
3 - 0
ASD
77%
16%
8%
|
30 | 48 | 18 | 0 |
Matches
Derthona
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29 Mar. 2018 |
DER
2 - 0
BOR
16%
20%
64%
|
19 | 30 | 11 | 0 |
| 25 Mar. 2018 |
CAS
2 - 0
DER
69%
20%
11%
|
19 | 31 | 12 | 0 |
| 18 Mar. 2018 |
DER
1 - 1
CAS
54%
22%
24%
|
20 | 17 | 3 | -1 |
| 11 Mar. 2018 |
CHI
4 - 2
DER
86%
11%
4%
|
20 | 43 | 23 | 0 |
| 25 Feb. 2018 |
DER
0 - 2
BOR
19%
25%
56%
|
21 | 33 | 12 | -1 |