Serie D Grupo H. Jor. 24

Molfetta Calcio vs Lavello analysis

Molfetta Calcio Lavello
31 ELO 26
-4.5% Tilt -9.8%
44972º General ELO ranking 44971º
1302º Country ELO ranking 1301º
ELO win probability
55%
Molfetta Calcio
20.7%
Draw
24.3%
Lavello

Possible results

Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
55%
Win probability
Molfetta Calcio
2.13
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
9-1
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.4%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.6%
5-0
1.1%
6-1
0.5%
7-2
0.1%
8-3
<0%
+5
1.8%
4-0
2.6%
5-1
1.5%
6-2
0.4%
7-3
0.1%
+4
4.5%
3-0
4.9%
4-1
3.6%
5-2
1%
6-3
0.2%
7-4
<0%
+3
9.7%
2-0
6.8%
3-1
6.7%
4-2
2.4%
5-3
0.5%
6-4
0.1%
+2
16.5%
1-0
6.4%
2-1
9.4%
3-2
4.6%
4-3
1.1%
5-4
0.2%
6-5
<0%
+1
21.7%
20.7%
Draw
0-0
3%
1-1
8.8%
2-2
6.4%
3-3
2.1%
4-4
0.4%
5-5
<0%
0
20.7%
24.3%
Win probability
Lavello
1.37
Expected goals
0-1
4.1%
1-2
6%
2-3
2.9%
3-4
0.7%
4-5
0.1%
5-6
0%
-1
13.9%
0-2
2.8%
1-3
2.8%
2-4
1%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
6.8%
0-3
1.3%
1-4
0.9%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
2.6%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0.1%
-4
0.8%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
1-7
0%
-6
<0%

ELO Graph/Inclination

← Defensive Tilt Attacking →

Points and table prediction

Molfetta Calcio
Their league position
Lavello
CURR.POS.
15º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
32
10º
17º
15º
26
12º
18º
17º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
17º
Current table Final expectations
RK PTS. PTS. RK PROB
Brindisi
66
69
66%
Cavese 1919
66
67
66%
Nardò
62
63
100%
Barletta
61
62
100%
Team Altamura
56
57
0%
Virtus Casarano
56
57
0%
Matera
47
50
100%
Città di Fasano
44
45
59%
Martina Franca
44
45
59%
USD Bitonto
10º
42
43
10º
100%
Afragolese
12º
36
37
11º
66%
Nocerina
13º
36
37
12º
0%
Gladiator
11º
37
37
13º
0%
Gravina
14º
33
34
14º
100%
Molfetta Calcio
15º
32
33
15º
100%
FC Francavilla 1931
16º
29
30
16º
100%
Lavello
17º
26
27
17º
100%
Puteolana
18º
19
19
18º
100%
Expected probabilities
Molfetta Calcio
Lavello
Promotion
0% 0%
Promotion play-offs
0% 0%
Mid-table
0% 0%
Relegation play-offs
100% 100%

ELO progression

Molfetta Calcio
Lavello
Next opponents in ELO points

Matches

Molfetta Calcio
Molfetta Calcio
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
12 Feb. 2023
GLA
Gladiator
0 - 2
Molfetta Calcio
MOL
53%
23%
25%
27 33 6 0
05 Feb. 2023
ASF
Città di Fasano
1 - 1
Molfetta Calcio
MOL
71%
17%
12%
27 37 10 0
29 Jan. 2023
MOL
Molfetta Calcio
0 - 2
Nardò
NAR
26%
23%
51%
29 39 10 -2
22 Jan. 2023
PUT
Puteolana
4 - 1
Molfetta Calcio
MOL
34%
24%
42%
31 26 5 -2
15 Jan. 2023
MOL
Molfetta Calcio
1 - 1
Barletta
SSB
14%
22%
65%
30 50 20 +1

Matches

Lavello
Lavello
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
12 Feb. 2023
LAV
Lavello
1 - 2
Brindisi
BRI
21%
21%
58%
27 39 12 0
05 Feb. 2023
NAR
Nardò
4 - 0
Lavello
LAV
71%
17%
12%
28 41 13 -1
29 Jan. 2023
LAV
Lavello
1 - 0
Nocerina
NOC
31%
24%
45%
27 35 8 +1
22 Jan. 2023
VIR
Virtus Casarano
3 - 0
Lavello
LAV
68%
18%
14%
27 38 11 0
15 Jan. 2023
MAR
Martina Franca
0 - 1
Lavello
LAV
66%
18%
16%
26 33 7 +1
X