Marina di Ragusa vs ACR Messina analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
37.5%
Win probability
1.52
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.3%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.5%
4-0
1%
5-1
0.5%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
1.6%
3-0
2.7%
4-1
1.6%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
4.8%
2-0
5.4%
3-1
4.2%
4-2
1.2%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
11.1%
1-0
7.1%
2-1
8.3%
3-2
3.3%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
19.4%
24%
Draw
0-0
4.7%
1-1
11%
2-2
6.4%
3-3
1.7%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
24%
38.5%
Win probability
1.54
Expected goals
0-1
7.2%
1-2
8.5%
2-3
3.3%
3-4
0.6%
4-5
0.1%
-1
19.7%
0-2
5.6%
1-3
4.3%
2-4
1.3%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
11.4%
0-3
2.9%
1-4
1.7%
2-5
0.4%
3-6
0.1%
-3
5%
0-4
1.1%
1-5
0.5%
2-6
0.1%
3-7
0%
-4
1.7%
0-5
0.3%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.5%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Marina di Ragusa
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 Sep. 2019 |
PAL
3 - 1
MDR
90%
9%
2%
|
24 | 74 | 50 | 0 |
| 15 Sep. 2019 |
MDR
2 - 2
FCS
21%
21%
58%
|
23 | 36 | 13 | +1 |
| 08 Sep. 2019 |
ACC
2 - 1
MDR
39%
22%
39%
|
24 | 21 | 3 | -1 |
| 01 Sep. 2019 |
MDR
2 - 1
HYR
45%
23%
32%
|
23 | 26 | 3 | +1 |
| 25 Aug. 2019 |
CIT
2 - 1
MDR
53%
21%
26%
|
24 | 28 | 4 | -1 |
Matches
ACR Messina
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 Sep. 2019 |
MES
3 - 1
USC
58%
20%
22%
|
30 | 29 | 1 | 0 |
| 15 Sep. 2019 |
STO
2 - 0
MES
23%
23%
54%
|
32 | 19 | 13 | -2 |
| 08 Sep. 2019 |
MES
3 - 0
ACI
46%
23%
31%
|
31 | 34 | 3 | +1 |
| 01 Sep. 2019 |
ASD
2 - 0
MES
48%
24%
28%
|
32 | 32 | 0 | -1 |
| 18 Aug. 2019 |
MDR
1 - 0
MES
30%
24%
47%
|
33 | 22 | 11 | -1 |