Grumentum vs Brindisi analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
22.4%
Win probability
1.4
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
7-1
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.2%
4-0
0.4%
5-1
0.3%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
0.7%
3-0
1.1%
4-1
0.9%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
0.1%
+3
2.4%
2-0
2.4%
3-1
2.6%
4-2
1%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
6.3%
1-0
3.4%
2-1
5.5%
3-2
3%
4-3
0.8%
5-4
0.1%
6-5
<0%
+1
12.9%
19.6%
Draw
0-0
2.5%
1-1
7.9%
2-2
6.4%
3-3
2.3%
4-4
0.5%
5-5
0.1%
0
19.6%
58%
Win probability
2.31
Expected goals
0-1
5.7%
1-2
9.2%
2-3
4.9%
3-4
1.3%
4-5
0.2%
5-6
0%
-1
21.3%
0-2
6.6%
1-3
7%
2-4
2.8%
3-5
0.6%
4-6
0.1%
-2
17.1%
0-3
5.1%
1-4
4.1%
2-5
1.3%
3-6
0.2%
4-7
0%
-3
10.7%
0-4
2.9%
1-5
1.9%
2-6
0.5%
3-7
0.1%
-4
5.4%
0-5
1.3%
1-6
0.7%
2-7
0.2%
3-8
0%
-5
2.3%
0-6
0.5%
1-7
0.2%
2-8
0%
-6
0.8%
0-7
0.2%
1-8
0.1%
2-9
0%
-7
0.3%
0-8
0%
1-9
0%
-8
0.1%
0-9
0%
-9
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Grumentum
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 Jan. 2020 |
TAR
3 - 0
GRU
73%
16%
11%
|
26 | 37 | 11 | 0 |
| 19 Jan. 2020 |
GRU
0 - 0
AUD
15%
23%
63%
|
24 | 44 | 20 | +2 |
| 12 Jan. 2020 |
FBC
2 - 3
GRU
72%
16%
12%
|
23 | 34 | 11 | +1 |
| 05 Jan. 2020 |
GRU
2 - 2
NOC
39%
23%
38%
|
23 | 27 | 4 | 0 |
| 22 Dec. 2019 |
GRU
2 - 0
AGR
54%
21%
26%
|
23 | 21 | 2 | 0 |
Matches
Brindisi
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 Jan. 2020 |
AUD
4 - 1
BRI
70%
18%
12%
|
35 | 43 | 8 | 0 |
| 19 Jan. 2020 |
BRI
1 - 1
VIR
40%
23%
37%
|
35 | 38 | 3 | 0 |
| 12 Jan. 2020 |
NOC
0 - 0
BRI
24%
22%
54%
|
35 | 27 | 8 | 0 |
| 05 Jan. 2020 |
BRI
0 - 2
TAR
48%
23%
29%
|
36 | 36 | 0 | -1 |
| 22 Dec. 2019 |
BRI
1 - 1
ASF
37%
25%
38%
|
36 | 40 | 4 | 0 |