Grassina vs Lornano Badesse analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
45.2%
Win probability
1.93
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.6%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
0.1%
+5
1%
4-0
1.6%
5-1
1%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
3%
3-0
3.4%
4-1
2.7%
5-2
0.8%
6-3
0.1%
7-4
<0%
+3
7.1%
2-0
5.3%
3-1
5.6%
4-2
2.2%
5-3
0.5%
6-4
0.1%
+2
13.6%
1-0
5.5%
2-1
8.6%
3-2
4.5%
4-3
1.2%
5-4
0.2%
6-5
<0%
+1
20%
21.8%
Draw
0-0
2.8%
1-1
8.9%
2-2
7%
3-3
2.5%
4-4
0.5%
5-5
0.1%
0
21.8%
33%
Win probability
1.63
Expected goals
0-1
4.6%
1-2
7.3%
2-3
3.8%
3-4
1%
4-5
0.2%
5-6
0%
-1
16.9%
0-2
3.8%
1-3
4%
2-4
1.6%
3-5
0.3%
4-6
0%
-2
9.7%
0-3
2.1%
1-4
1.6%
2-5
0.5%
3-6
0.1%
4-7
0%
-3
4.3%
0-4
0.8%
1-5
0.5%
2-6
0.1%
3-7
0%
-4
1.5%
0-5
0.3%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.4%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Grassina
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 Jan. 2021 |
SCA
0 - 0
GRA
35%
22%
43%
|
33 | 28 | 5 | 0 |
| 10 Jan. 2021 |
GRA
2 - 2
CAN
45%
23%
32%
|
33 | 36 | 3 | 0 |
| 06 Jan. 2021 |
GRA
0 - 1
TIF
43%
22%
36%
|
34 | 36 | 2 | -1 |
| 23 Dec. 2020 |
ACS
1 - 1
GRA
30%
24%
47%
|
34 | 30 | 4 | 0 |
| 20 Dec. 2020 |
GRA
2 - 4
OST
49%
22%
29%
|
35 | 37 | 2 | -1 |
Matches
Lornano Badesse
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 Jan. 2021 |
BAR
1 - 0
FLA
49%
22%
29%
|
34 | 34 | 0 | 0 |
| 10 Jan. 2021 |
TIF
2 - 1
BAR
55%
21%
25%
|
34 | 37 | 3 | 0 |
| 23 Dec. 2020 |
OST
3 - 2
BAR
52%
22%
26%
|
34 | 38 | 4 | 0 |
| 20 Dec. 2020 |
BAR
1 - 0
PIA
46%
23%
31%
|
33 | 37 | 4 | +1 |
| 13 Dec. 2020 |
SIN
0 - 1
BAR
30%
22%
48%
|
33 | 26 | 7 | 0 |