Matese vs Tolentino analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
43.1%
Win probability
1.81
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.5%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
0.1%
+5
0.8%
4-0
1.5%
5-1
0.9%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
2.6%
3-0
3.3%
4-1
2.4%
5-2
0.7%
6-3
0.1%
7-4
<0%
+3
6.4%
2-0
5.4%
3-1
5.2%
4-2
1.9%
5-3
0.4%
6-4
<0%
+2
12.9%
1-0
5.9%
2-1
8.6%
3-2
4.2%
4-3
1%
5-4
0.1%
6-5
<0%
+1
20%
22.5%
Draw
0-0
3.3%
1-1
9.5%
2-2
6.9%
3-3
2.2%
4-4
0.4%
5-5
<0%
0
22.5%
34.5%
Win probability
1.61
Expected goals
0-1
5.3%
1-2
7.7%
2-3
3.7%
3-4
0.9%
4-5
0.1%
5-6
0%
-1
17.7%
0-2
4.2%
1-3
4.1%
2-4
1.5%
3-5
0.3%
4-6
0%
-2
10.1%
0-3
2.3%
1-4
1.6%
2-5
0.5%
3-6
0.1%
-3
4.5%
0-4
0.9%
1-5
0.5%
2-6
0.1%
3-7
0%
-4
1.6%
0-5
0.3%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.5%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-75%
+23%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Matese
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06 Jan. 2021 |
SAN
3 - 1
MAT
65%
18%
17%
|
31 | 38 | 7 | 0 |
| 23 Dec. 2020 |
MAT
3 - 0
ASD
38%
22%
40%
|
28 | 33 | 5 | +3 |
| 20 Dec. 2020 |
CYN
3 - 1
MAT
64%
18%
18%
|
29 | 35 | 6 | -1 |
| 15 Nov. 2020 |
MAT
0 - 0
APR
59%
20%
21%
|
29 | 27 | 2 | 0 |
| 08 Nov. 2020 |
MAT
1 - 2
CAS
40%
22%
38%
|
30 | 34 | 4 | -1 |
Matches
Tolentino
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06 Jan. 2021 |
UST
3 - 4
MON
55%
21%
24%
|
34 | 33 | 1 | 0 |
| 23 Dec. 2020 |
CAS
1 - 1
UST
23%
22%
55%
|
34 | 24 | 10 | 0 |
| 08 Nov. 2020 |
APR
2 - 1
UST
27%
22%
51%
|
35 | 26 | 9 | -1 |
| 01 Nov. 2020 |
UST
0 - 0
PIN
53%
21%
26%
|
35 | 34 | 1 | 0 |
| 25 Oct. 2020 |
SFF
1 - 1
UST
40%
22%
37%
|
35 | 31 | 4 | 0 |