Cartigliano vs Mestre analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
10%
Win probability
0.59
Expected goals
4-0
<0%
+4
<0%
3-0
0.3%
4-1
0.1%
+3
0.3%
2-0
1.3%
3-1
0.5%
4-2
0.1%
+2
1.9%
1-0
4.5%
2-1
2.6%
3-2
0.5%
4-3
0.1%
+1
7.7%
19.5%
Draw
0-0
7.6%
1-1
8.9%
2-2
2.6%
3-3
0.3%
4-4
<0%
0
19.5%
70.5%
Win probability
1.99
Expected goals
0-1
15.1%
1-2
8.9%
2-3
1.7%
3-4
0.2%
-1
25.8%
0-2
15%
1-3
5.9%
2-4
0.9%
3-5
0.1%
-2
21.8%
0-3
9.9%
1-4
2.9%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
13.2%
0-4
4.9%
1-5
1.2%
2-6
0.1%
-4
6.2%
0-5
2%
1-6
0.4%
2-7
0%
-5
2.4%
0-6
0.6%
1-7
0.1%
-6
0.8%
0-7
0.2%
1-8
0%
-7
0.2%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
0-9
0%
-9
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Cartigliano
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 Aug. 2019 |
CAR
1 - 1
MON
43%
23%
34%
|
27 | 27 | 0 | 0 |
| 18 Aug. 2019 |
CAR
1 - 0
BEL
46%
23%
31%
|
26 | 27 | 1 | +1 |
| 05 May. 2019 |
CAR
3 - 2
SAN
50%
22%
28%
|
25 | 25 | 0 | +1 |
| 28 Apr. 2019 |
BEL
1 - 1
CAR
51%
22%
27%
|
25 | 26 | 1 | 0 |
| 18 Apr. 2019 |
CAR
0 - 1
CAM
22%
21%
57%
|
26 | 38 | 12 | -1 |
Matches
Mestre
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 Aug. 2019 |
DEL
0 - 2
MES
17%
23%
60%
|
49 | 34 | 15 | 0 |
| 18 Aug. 2019 |
CLO
0 - 0
MES
14%
21%
66%
|
50 | 30 | 20 | -1 |
| 11 May. 2018 |
ABN
2 - 2
MES
52%
26%
23%
|
50 | 55 | 5 | 0 |
| 06 May. 2018 |
FCS
1 - 0
MES
46%
27%
27%
|
51 | 53 | 2 | -1 |
| 29 Apr. 2018 |
MES
0 - 4
SAN
58%
23%
19%
|
52 | 49 | 3 | -1 |