Ascoli vs Sambenedettese analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
75.4%
Win probability
2.33
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.4%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.5%
6-0
1.1%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.4%
5-0
2.9%
6-1
0.7%
7-2
0.1%
+5
3.8%
4-0
6.3%
5-1
1.9%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
8.5%
3-0
10.8%
4-1
4%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
0.1%
+3
15.5%
2-0
13.9%
3-1
6.9%
4-2
1.3%
5-3
0.1%
+2
22.3%
1-0
11.9%
2-1
8.9%
3-2
2.2%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.3%
16.1%
Draw
0-0
5.1%
1-1
7.6%
2-2
2.9%
3-3
0.5%
4-4
<0%
0
16.1%
8.5%
Win probability
0.64
Expected goals
0-1
3.3%
1-2
2.4%
2-3
0.6%
3-4
0.1%
-1
6.4%
0-2
1%
1-3
0.5%
2-4
0.1%
-2
1.7%
0-3
0.2%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.3%
0-4
0%
1-5
0%
-4
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-24%
-3%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Ascoli
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 31 Aug. 1986 |
PAR
2 - 0
ASC
31%
29%
40%
|
73 | 57 | 16 | 0 |
| 27 Aug. 1986 |
ASC
2 - 1
SSB
83%
12%
5%
|
73 | 52 | 21 | 0 |
| 24 Aug. 1986 |
TRI
2 - 1
ASC
46%
25%
28%
|
73 | 68 | 5 | 0 |
| 15 Jun. 1986 |
ASC
3 - 2
FCC
63%
23%
14%
|
73 | 58 | 15 | 0 |
| 08 Jun. 1986 |
ASS
2 - 2
ASC
37%
35%
29%
|
73 | 56 | 17 | 0 |
Matches
Sambenedettese
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 31 Aug. 1986 |
SSS
0 - 0
TRI
38%
29%
34%
|
61 | 68 | 7 | 0 |
| 27 Aug. 1986 |
SSS
1 - 0
PAR
52%
26%
22%
|
60 | 57 | 3 | +1 |
| 24 Aug. 1986 |
ACM
1 - 0
SSS
84%
12%
5%
|
61 | 80 | 19 | -1 |
| 15 Jun. 1986 |
GEN
1 - 2
SSS
59%
27%
15%
|
60 | 65 | 5 | +1 |
| 08 Jun. 1986 |
SSS
4 - 1
PAL
43%
32%
25%
|
59 | 58 | 1 | +1 |