Ascoli vs SPAL analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
39.2%
Win probability
1.26
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.3%
4-0
1%
5-1
0.3%
6-2
<0%
+4
1.3%
3-0
3%
4-1
1.1%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
4.3%
2-0
7.2%
3-1
3.4%
4-2
0.6%
5-3
0.1%
+2
11.3%
1-0
11.5%
2-1
8.2%
3-2
1.9%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
21.9%
27.7%
Draw
0-0
9.2%
1-1
13.1%
2-2
4.6%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
27.7%
33.1%
Win probability
1.13
Expected goals
0-1
10.4%
1-2
7.4%
2-3
1.7%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
19.8%
0-2
5.9%
1-3
2.8%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0%
-2
9.2%
0-3
2.2%
1-4
0.8%
2-5
0.1%
-3
3.1%
0-4
0.6%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.8%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-24%
-14%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Ascoli
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 Oct. 2021 |
FRO
2 - 1
ASC
51%
26%
24%
|
68 | 73 | 5 | 0 |
| 16 Oct. 2021 |
ASC
1 - 1
LEC
27%
26%
47%
|
69 | 77 | 8 | -1 |
| 02 Oct. 2021 |
CRO
2 - 2
ASC
50%
24%
26%
|
68 | 69 | 1 | +1 |
| 25 Sep. 2021 |
ASC
2 - 3
BRE
26%
26%
48%
|
68 | 76 | 8 | 0 |
| 21 Sep. 2021 |
USA
1 - 3
ASC
22%
25%
53%
|
68 | 56 | 12 | 0 |
Matches
SPAL
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 Oct. 2021 |
SPA
1 - 1
COM
71%
18%
11%
|
72 | 58 | 14 | 0 |
| 17 Oct. 2021 |
CTT
0 - 0
SPA
52%
26%
22%
|
72 | 75 | 3 | 0 |
| 02 Oct. 2021 |
SPA
2 - 2
PAR
45%
25%
30%
|
72 | 72 | 0 | 0 |
| 26 Sep. 2021 |
TER
1 - 0
SPA
44%
26%
30%
|
73 | 69 | 4 | -1 |
| 21 Sep. 2021 |
SPA
3 - 2
VIC
63%
21%
16%
|
72 | 64 | 8 | +1 |