Ascoli vs Sora analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
70.2%
Win probability
2.13
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.3%
6-0
0.8%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.9%
5-0
2.1%
6-1
0.5%
7-2
0.1%
+5
2.7%
4-0
5%
5-1
1.5%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
6.7%
3-0
9.4%
4-1
3.6%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
<0%
+3
13.6%
2-0
13.2%
3-1
6.7%
4-2
1.3%
5-3
0.1%
+2
21.3%
1-0
12.4%
2-1
9.4%
3-2
2.4%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.5%
18.6%
Draw
0-0
5.8%
1-1
8.8%
2-2
3.3%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
0.1%
0
18.6%
11.2%
Win probability
0.71
Expected goals
0-1
4.1%
1-2
3.1%
2-3
0.8%
3-4
0.1%
-1
8.2%
0-2
1.5%
1-3
0.7%
2-4
0.1%
3-5
0%
-2
2.4%
0-3
0.3%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.5%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-24%
+9%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Ascoli
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 Feb. 2002 |
BEN
0 - 0
ASC
29%
27%
44%
|
63 | 49 | 14 | 0 |
| 10 Feb. 2002 |
ASC
2 - 0
LAQ
70%
19%
11%
|
62 | 46 | 16 | +1 |
| 03 Feb. 2002 |
SAS
1 - 1
ASC
32%
26%
42%
|
63 | 54 | 9 | -1 |
| 27 Jan. 2002 |
ASC
2 - 1
VIR
69%
19%
12%
|
62 | 54 | 8 | +1 |
| 20 Jan. 2002 |
CHI
3 - 0
ASC
24%
26%
50%
|
63 | 43 | 20 | -1 |
Matches
Sora
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 Feb. 2002 |
CAT
3 - 0
SOR
65%
21%
14%
|
43 | 58 | 15 | 0 |
| 10 Feb. 2002 |
SOR
1 - 1
AVE
22%
25%
54%
|
42 | 56 | 14 | +1 |
| 03 Feb. 2002 |
BEN
3 - 0
SOR
57%
23%
20%
|
44 | 48 | 4 | -2 |
| 27 Jan. 2002 |
SOR
0 - 0
VIT
29%
26%
46%
|
44 | 52 | 8 | 0 |
| 20 Jan. 2002 |
FER
2 - 0
SOR
68%
19%
14%
|
44 | 52 | 8 | 0 |