Ascoli vs L'Aquila analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
83.7%
Win probability
2.56
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
0.1%
+9
0.1%
8-0
0.2%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.3%
7-0
0.7%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.8%
6-0
2%
7-1
0.3%
8-2
<0%
+6
2.3%
5-0
4.7%
6-1
0.8%
7-2
0.1%
+5
5.6%
4-0
9.1%
5-1
1.9%
6-2
0.2%
+4
11.3%
3-0
14.3%
4-1
3.8%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
18.5%
2-0
16.7%
3-1
5.9%
4-2
0.8%
5-3
0.1%
+2
23.5%
1-0
13%
2-1
6.9%
3-2
1.2%
4-3
0.1%
+1
21.3%
12.1%
Draw
0-0
5.1%
1-1
5.4%
2-2
1.4%
3-3
0.2%
4-4
<0%
0
12.1%
4.2%
Win probability
0.42
Expected goals
0-1
2.1%
1-2
1.1%
2-3
0.2%
3-4
0%
-1
3.5%
0-2
0.4%
1-3
0.2%
2-4
0%
-2
0.6%
0-3
0.1%
1-4
0%
-3
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-28%
-8%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Ascoli
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 Sep. 2013 |
PAG
0 - 1
ASC
21%
27%
52%
|
63 | 50 | 13 | 0 |
| 08 Sep. 2013 |
ASC
0 - 0
SSB
69%
20%
12%
|
63 | 56 | 7 | 0 |
| 01 Sep. 2013 |
FRO
2 - 1
ASC
46%
26%
28%
|
63 | 60 | 3 | 0 |
| 04 Aug. 2013 |
PON
2 - 0
ASC
18%
24%
59%
|
62 | 43 | 19 | +1 |
| 18 May. 2013 |
CTT
1 - 0
ASC
49%
26%
26%
|
63 | 63 | 0 | -1 |
Matches
L'Aquila
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 Sep. 2013 |
LAQ
0 - 1
PIS
11%
22%
67%
|
38 | 63 | 25 | 0 |
| 08 Sep. 2013 |
LEC
1 - 2
LAQ
89%
9%
2%
|
36 | 72 | 36 | +2 |
| 01 Sep. 2013 |
LAQ
0 - 0
ACP
17%
26%
57%
|
34 | 51 | 17 | +2 |
| 04 Aug. 2013 |
FRO
1 - 0
LAQ
78%
15%
7%
|
34 | 57 | 23 | 0 |
| 16 Jun. 2013 |
LAQ
2 - 1
TER
31%
27%
42%
|
33 | 38 | 5 | +1 |