Ascoli vs Fermana analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
66.6%
Win probability
1.94
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.5%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.6%
5-0
1.6%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
<0%
+5
2%
4-0
4.2%
5-1
1.2%
6-2
0.1%
+4
5.5%
3-0
8.6%
4-1
3%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
12%
2-0
13.3%
3-1
6.1%
4-2
1.1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
20.6%
1-0
13.7%
2-1
9.4%
3-2
2.2%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
25.6%
20.7%
Draw
0-0
7%
1-1
9.7%
2-2
3.4%
3-3
0.5%
4-4
<0%
0
20.7%
12.8%
Win probability
0.71
Expected goals
0-1
5%
1-2
3.4%
2-3
0.8%
3-4
0.1%
-1
9.3%
0-2
1.8%
1-3
0.8%
2-4
0.1%
3-5
0%
-2
2.7%
0-3
0.4%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.6%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-23%
-38%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Ascoli
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 Mar. 2002 |
TAR
1 - 1
ASC
42%
28%
30%
|
63 | 62 | 1 | 0 |
| 17 Mar. 2002 |
ASC
3 - 2
PES
53%
25%
23%
|
62 | 60 | 2 | +1 |
| 10 Mar. 2002 |
AVE
2 - 2
ASC
36%
28%
37%
|
62 | 55 | 7 | 0 |
| 03 Mar. 2002 |
ASC
3 - 0
SOR
70%
19%
11%
|
62 | 42 | 20 | 0 |
| 17 Feb. 2002 |
BEN
0 - 0
ASC
29%
27%
44%
|
63 | 49 | 14 | -1 |
Matches
Fermana
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 Mar. 2002 |
FER
0 - 1
BEN
50%
26%
24%
|
51 | 50 | 1 | 0 |
| 17 Mar. 2002 |
NOC
2 - 1
FER
32%
29%
39%
|
52 | 47 | 5 | -1 |
| 10 Mar. 2002 |
FER
1 - 1
VIT
46%
25%
29%
|
52 | 53 | 1 | 0 |
| 03 Mar. 2002 |
CAS
1 - 0
FER
42%
28%
30%
|
52 | 50 | 2 | 0 |
| 17 Feb. 2002 |
FER
0 - 1
GIU
49%
25%
26%
|
53 | 53 | 0 | -1 |