Serie B Round 19

Ascoli vs Crotone analysis

Ascoli Crotone
67 ELO 70
2.4% Tilt -12%
1016º General ELO ranking 1336º
49º Country ELO ranking 54º
ELO win probability
36.1%
Ascoli
27.6%
Draw
36.3%
Crotone

Possible results

Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
36.1%
Win probability
Ascoli
1.2
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.2%
4-0
0.8%
5-1
0.2%
6-2
<0%
+4
1%
3-0
2.6%
4-1
0.9%
5-2
0.1%
6-3
<0%
+3
3.7%
2-0
6.5%
3-1
3.1%
4-2
0.6%
5-3
0.1%
+2
10.3%
1-0
10.9%
2-1
7.8%
3-2
1.9%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
20.8%
27.6%
Draw
0-0
9.1%
1-1
13.1%
2-2
4.7%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
27.6%
36.3%
Win probability
Crotone
1.2
Expected goals
0-1
10.9%
1-2
7.9%
2-3
1.9%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
20.9%
0-2
6.6%
1-3
3.1%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0.1%
-2
10.3%
0-3
2.6%
1-4
0.9%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
3.7%
0-4
0.8%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
1%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%

ELO Graph/Inclination

← Defensive Tilt Attacking →

ELO progression

Ascoli
Crotone
Next opponents in ELO points

Matches

Ascoli
Ascoli
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
27 Dec. 2018
PAL
Palermo FC
3 - 0
Ascoli
ASC
66%
21%
13%
67 77 10 0
21 Dec. 2018
ASC
Ascoli
1 - 1
Brescia
BRE
41%
26%
33%
67 68 1 0
15 Dec. 2018
ASC
Ascoli
1 - 1
Cittadella
CTT
32%
28%
40%
67 74 7 0
08 Dec. 2018
VNZ
Venezia
1 - 0
Ascoli
ASC
52%
26%
22%
67 71 4 0
01 Dec. 2018
ASC
Ascoli
3 - 1
Spezia
SPE
47%
28%
26%
66 68 2 +1

Matches

Crotone
Crotone
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
27 Dec. 2018
CRO
Crotone
0 - 3
Spezia
SPE
59%
24%
18%
72 68 4 0
23 Dec. 2018
BEN
Benevento
3 - 0
Crotone
CRO
42%
27%
31%
73 70 3 -1
16 Dec. 2018
CRO
Crotone
1 - 1
Venezia
VNZ
51%
25%
24%
73 71 2 0
04 Dec. 2018
BOL
Bologna
3 - 0
Crotone
CRO
49%
24%
26%
74 75 1 -1
01 Dec. 2018
USC
Cremonese
1 - 0
Crotone
CRO
38%
27%
35%
75 70 5 -1