Ascoli vs Padova analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
52.6%
Win probability
1.59
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.7%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.9%
4-0
2.1%
5-1
0.6%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2.8%
3-0
5.3%
4-1
2%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
7.7%
2-0
10.1%
3-1
5%
4-2
0.9%
5-3
0.1%
+2
16.1%
1-0
12.7%
2-1
9.5%
3-2
2.4%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.8%
25.1%
Draw
0-0
8%
1-1
11.9%
2-2
4.4%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
25.1%
22.3%
Win probability
0.94
Expected goals
0-1
7.5%
1-2
5.6%
2-3
1.4%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
14.7%
0-2
3.5%
1-3
1.8%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
5.6%
0-3
1.1%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.6%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+3%
-15%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Ascoli
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 Nov. 2010 |
FRO
1 - 1
ASC
41%
27%
33%
|
65 | 59 | 6 | 0 |
| 20 Nov. 2010 |
ASC
0 - 0
VAR
63%
22%
15%
|
65 | 61 | 4 | 0 |
| 15 Nov. 2010 |
PES
1 - 2
ASC
39%
28%
34%
|
65 | 60 | 5 | 0 |
| 09 Nov. 2010 |
SAS
0 - 1
ASC
54%
25%
22%
|
64 | 66 | 2 | +1 |
| 06 Nov. 2010 |
ASC
1 - 1
NOV
42%
27%
32%
|
64 | 71 | 7 | 0 |
Matches
Padova
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 Nov. 2010 |
PAD
2 - 3
VAR
59%
24%
17%
|
66 | 61 | 5 | 0 |
| 19 Nov. 2010 |
VIC
2 - 1
PAD
38%
29%
33%
|
66 | 63 | 3 | 0 |
| 13 Nov. 2010 |
PAD
3 - 1
FRO
56%
24%
20%
|
66 | 60 | 6 | 0 |
| 09 Nov. 2010 |
POR
1 - 1
PAD
28%
29%
43%
|
66 | 57 | 9 | 0 |
| 06 Nov. 2010 |
PAD
2 - 2
EMP
40%
29%
32%
|
66 | 71 | 5 | 0 |