Ascoli vs Atalanta analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
23%
Win probability
0.82
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
+5
<0%
4-0
0.2%
5-1
<0%
+4
0.3%
3-0
1.1%
4-1
0.3%
5-2
<0%
+3
1.4%
2-0
3.9%
3-1
1.4%
4-2
0.2%
5-3
<0%
+2
5.5%
1-0
9.4%
2-1
5.2%
3-2
1%
4-3
0.1%
+1
15.7%
28.1%
Draw
0-0
11.5%
1-1
12.7%
2-2
3.5%
3-3
0.4%
4-4
<0%
0
28.1%
48.9%
Win probability
1.34
Expected goals
0-1
15.4%
1-2
8.5%
2-3
1.6%
3-4
0.1%
-1
25.6%
0-2
10.3%
1-3
3.8%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0%
-2
14.7%
0-3
4.6%
1-4
1.3%
2-5
0.1%
-3
6%
0-4
1.6%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0%
-4
1.9%
0-5
0.4%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.5%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-16%
-3%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Ascoli
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02 Nov. 2003 |
TOR
3 - 1
ASC
66%
21%
13%
|
61 | 73 | 12 | 0 |
| 25 Oct. 2003 |
ASC
1 - 2
PAL
38%
27%
35%
|
62 | 69 | 7 | -1 |
| 18 Oct. 2003 |
AVE
2 - 2
ASC
32%
27%
41%
|
62 | 55 | 7 | 0 |
| 15 Oct. 2003 |
ASC
2 - 1
VNZ
42%
27%
31%
|
61 | 66 | 5 | +1 |
| 12 Oct. 2003 |
BAR
1 - 2
ASC
54%
25%
21%
|
61 | 67 | 6 | 0 |
Matches
Atalanta
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02 Nov. 2003 |
PAL
0 - 0
ATL
31%
29%
41%
|
80 | 71 | 9 | 0 |
| 25 Oct. 2003 |
ATL
2 - 2
MES
73%
18%
9%
|
80 | 64 | 16 | 0 |
| 18 Oct. 2003 |
TOR
0 - 1
ATL
37%
28%
35%
|
80 | 73 | 7 | 0 |
| 15 Oct. 2003 |
ATL
1 - 0
PES
75%
17%
8%
|
80 | 59 | 21 | 0 |
| 12 Oct. 2003 |
ATL
4 - 1
TRI
67%
21%
12%
|
80 | 68 | 12 | 0 |