Ascoli vs SSC Bari analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
44.2%
Win probability
1.42
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.4%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.5%
4-0
1.4%
5-1
0.4%
6-2
0.1%
+4
1.8%
3-0
3.8%
4-1
1.5%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
5.6%
2-0
8.1%
3-1
4.2%
4-2
0.8%
5-3
0.1%
+2
13.2%
1-0
11.4%
2-1
8.9%
3-2
2.3%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
23%
26.5%
Draw
0-0
8.1%
1-1
12.6%
2-2
4.9%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
26.5%
29.3%
Win probability
1.1
Expected goals
0-1
8.9%
1-2
6.9%
2-3
1.8%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
17.9%
0-2
4.9%
1-3
2.5%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0.1%
-2
8%
0-3
1.8%
1-4
0.7%
2-5
0.1%
-3
2.6%
0-4
0.5%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.7%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-16%
-4%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Ascoli
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 Aug. 2012 |
VAR
2 - 0
ASC
54%
26%
21%
|
69 | 73 | 4 | 0 |
| 18 Aug. 2012 |
CHI
4 - 0
ASC
63%
24%
14%
|
69 | 82 | 13 | 0 |
| 12 Aug. 2012 |
ASC
2 - 1
POR
69%
19%
13%
|
69 | 57 | 12 | 0 |
| 26 May. 2012 |
PAD
0 - 2
ASC
52%
26%
22%
|
68 | 69 | 1 | +1 |
| 20 May. 2012 |
ASC
3 - 2
CRO
48%
26%
26%
|
67 | 68 | 1 | +1 |
Matches
SSC Bari
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 Aug. 2012 |
BAR
2 - 1
CTT
52%
26%
22%
|
71 | 66 | 5 | 0 |
| 12 Aug. 2012 |
PRG
4 - 1
BAR
13%
22%
65%
|
71 | 47 | 24 | 0 |
| 25 Jul. 2012 |
LIV
0 - 0
BAR
42%
26%
32%
|
71 | 68 | 3 | 0 |
| 26 May. 2012 |
BAR
3 - 0
ASG
70%
20%
10%
|
71 | 56 | 15 | 0 |
| 20 May. 2012 |
VIC
3 - 1
BAR
24%
28%
48%
|
72 | 60 | 12 | -1 |