Serie A Round 30

Ascoli vs Cesena analysis

Ascoli Cesena
75 ELO 72
-3.7% Tilt -10.9%
1030º General ELO ranking 396º
49º Country ELO ranking 31º
ELO win probability
60.4%
Ascoli
22.8%
Draw
16.8%
Cesena

Possible results

Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
60.4%
Win probability
Ascoli
1.79
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.4%
5-0
1.1%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.4%
4-0
3.1%
5-1
0.9%
6-2
0.1%
+4
4.2%
3-0
7%
4-1
2.6%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
10%
2-0
11.8%
3-1
5.7%
4-2
1.1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
18.7%
1-0
13.2%
2-1
9.7%
3-2
2.4%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
25.5%
22.8%
Draw
0-0
7.4%
1-1
10.8%
2-2
3.9%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
0.1%
0
22.8%
16.8%
Win probability
Cesena
0.82
Expected goals
0-1
6%
1-2
4.4%
2-3
1.1%
3-4
0.1%
-1
11.7%
0-2
2.5%
1-3
1.2%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
3.9%
0-3
0.7%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
1%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%

ELO Graph/Inclination

← Defensive Tilt Attacking →
Ascoli
-17%
+3%
Cesena

ELO progression

Ascoli
Cesena
Next opponents in ELO points

Matches

Ascoli
Ascoli
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
08 May. 1988
PES
Pescara
0 - 0
Ascoli
ASC
51%
25%
24%
75 70 5 0
01 May. 1988
ASC
Ascoli
2 - 0
Avellino
AVE
55%
24%
21%
75 75 0 0
24 Apr. 1988
FIO
Fiorentina
1 - 0
Ascoli
ASC
57%
25%
18%
75 79 4 0
17 Apr. 1988
ASC
Ascoli
1 - 1
Sampdoria
SAM
35%
29%
36%
75 85 10 0
10 Apr. 1988
ASC
Ascoli
1 - 1
Juventus
JUV
27%
27%
46%
75 87 12 0

Matches

Cesena
Cesena
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
08 May. 1988
CES
Cesena
2 - 2
Inter
INT
24%
30%
46%
72 85 13 0
01 May. 1988
PIS
Pisa SC
1 - 0
Cesena
CES
56%
24%
20%
72 72 0 0
24 Apr. 1988
CES
Cesena
1 - 1
Empoli
EMP
52%
27%
20%
72 71 1 0
17 Apr. 1988
COM
Como
2 - 0
Cesena
CES
45%
29%
26%
73 73 0 -1
10 Apr. 1988
VER
Hellas Verona
0 - 1
Cesena
CES
68%
20%
12%
72 82 10 +1