Varese vs Voghera analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
82.5%
Win probability
2.57
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
0.1%
+9
0.1%
8-0
0.2%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.3%
7-0
0.7%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.8%
6-0
1.9%
7-1
0.3%
8-2
<0%
+6
2.3%
5-0
4.4%
6-1
0.9%
7-2
0.1%
+5
5.4%
4-0
8.7%
5-1
2.1%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
11%
3-0
13.5%
4-1
4.1%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
<0%
+3
18.1%
2-0
15.7%
3-1
6.4%
4-2
1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
23.2%
1-0
12.3%
2-1
7.5%
3-2
1.5%
4-3
0.2%
+1
21.4%
12.6%
Draw
0-0
4.8%
1-1
5.8%
2-2
1.8%
3-3
0.2%
4-4
<0%
0
12.6%
4.9%
Win probability
0.47
Expected goals
0-1
2.3%
1-2
1.4%
2-3
0.3%
3-4
0%
-1
3.9%
0-2
0.5%
1-3
0.2%
2-4
0%
-2
0.8%
0-3
0.1%
1-4
0%
-3
0.1%
0-4
0%
-4
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Varese
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 Sep. 2016 |
VAR
0 - 0
CAR
79%
15%
7%
|
60 | 40 | 20 | 0 |
| 24 Sep. 2016 |
VAR
0 - 3
BOR
85%
11%
4%
|
61 | 26 | 35 | -1 |
| 18 Sep. 2016 |
INV
0 - 1
VAR
12%
23%
65%
|
61 | 32 | 29 | 0 |
| 11 Sep. 2016 |
VAR
1 - 0
FOL
85%
11%
4%
|
61 | 35 | 26 | 0 |
| 04 Sep. 2016 |
CUN
0 - 1
VAR
15%
25%
60%
|
60 | 43 | 17 | +1 |
Matches
Voghera
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 Sep. 2016 |
VOG
3 - 1
CUN
18%
25%
57%
|
26 | 43 | 17 | 0 |
| 18 Sep. 2016 |
BOR
0 - 0
VOG
46%
24%
29%
|
26 | 26 | 0 | 0 |
| 11 Sep. 2016 |
VOG
2 - 0
BUS
38%
23%
38%
|
25 | 28 | 3 | +1 |
| 04 Sep. 2016 |
FOL
3 - 2
VOG
63%
21%
16%
|
25 | 34 | 9 | 0 |
| 07 May. 2016 |
SES
0 - 0
VOG
49%
27%
24%
|
24 | 31 | 7 | +1 |