Varese vs Ternana Calcio analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
54.6%
Win probability
1.35
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.5%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.6%
4-0
1.9%
5-1
0.3%
6-2
<0%
+4
2.3%
3-0
5.7%
4-1
1.2%
5-2
0.1%
+3
7%
2-0
12.7%
3-1
3.5%
4-2
0.4%
5-3
<0%
+2
16.7%
1-0
18.8%
2-1
7.9%
3-2
1.1%
4-3
0.1%
+1
27.9%
28.3%
Draw
0-0
13.9%
1-1
11.7%
2-2
2.4%
3-3
0.2%
4-4
<0%
0
28.3%
17.1%
Win probability
0.62
Expected goals
0-1
8.6%
1-2
3.6%
2-3
0.5%
3-4
0%
-1
12.8%
0-2
2.7%
1-3
0.7%
2-4
0.1%
-2
3.5%
0-3
0.6%
1-4
0.1%
-3
0.7%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Varese
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 Dec. 1973 |
VAR
4 - 1
BRI
53%
28%
19%
|
69 | 66 | 3 | 0 |
| 09 Dec. 1973 |
FCC
1 - 1
VAR
43%
31%
26%
|
69 | 66 | 3 | 0 |
| 02 Dec. 1973 |
VAR
1 - 0
REG
62%
26%
12%
|
69 | 59 | 10 | 0 |
| 25 Nov. 1973 |
AVE
1 - 1
VAR
49%
25%
26%
|
69 | 63 | 6 | 0 |
| 18 Nov. 1973 |
VAR
1 - 1
BRE
52%
29%
18%
|
69 | 65 | 4 | 0 |
Matches
Ternana Calcio
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 Dec. 1973 |
TER
5 - 0
BRE
54%
28%
18%
|
64 | 65 | 1 | 0 |
| 09 Dec. 1973 |
NOV
0 - 0
TER
58%
26%
16%
|
64 | 63 | 1 | 0 |
| 02 Dec. 1973 |
TER
2 - 0
BAR
61%
26%
13%
|
64 | 60 | 4 | 0 |
| 25 Nov. 1973 |
PRG
0 - 0
TER
43%
33%
25%
|
64 | 60 | 4 | 0 |
| 18 Nov. 1973 |
TER
2 - 2
PAL
53%
28%
19%
|
64 | 64 | 0 | 0 |