Varese vs Sampdoria analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
33.6%
Win probability
1.07
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.2%
4-0
0.6%
5-1
0.1%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.8%
3-0
2.2%
4-1
0.7%
5-2
0.1%
+3
3%
2-0
6.2%
3-1
2.5%
4-2
0.4%
5-3
<0%
+2
9.2%
1-0
11.7%
2-1
7.1%
3-2
1.5%
4-3
0.1%
+1
20.4%
29%
Draw
0-0
11%
1-1
13.4%
2-2
4.1%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
<0%
0
29%
37.4%
Win probability
1.14
Expected goals
0-1
12.5%
1-2
7.7%
2-3
1.6%
3-4
0.2%
-1
21.9%
0-2
7.2%
1-3
2.9%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0%
-2
10.6%
0-3
2.7%
1-4
0.8%
2-5
0.1%
-3
3.7%
0-4
0.8%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
1%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Varese
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 May. 2012 |
VER
3 - 0
VAR
48%
27%
25%
|
73 | 72 | 1 | 0 |
| 12 May. 2012 |
VAR
4 - 0
ASC
54%
26%
20%
|
72 | 68 | 4 | +1 |
| 05 May. 2012 |
BRE
1 - 2
VAR
51%
26%
22%
|
71 | 73 | 2 | +1 |
| 01 May. 2012 |
VAR
2 - 1
NOC
64%
22%
14%
|
71 | 60 | 11 | 0 |
| 28 Apr. 2012 |
CTT
0 - 1
VAR
44%
27%
29%
|
71 | 66 | 5 | 0 |
Matches
Sampdoria
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 May. 2012 |
SAM
1 - 3
PES
56%
24%
21%
|
80 | 73 | 7 | 0 |
| 12 May. 2012 |
JUS
1 - 2
SAM
28%
29%
43%
|
80 | 67 | 13 | 0 |
| 06 May. 2012 |
SAM
3 - 1
REG
61%
23%
16%
|
80 | 71 | 9 | 0 |
| 01 May. 2012 |
MOD
0 - 2
SAM
33%
29%
39%
|
80 | 69 | 11 | 0 |
| 28 Apr. 2012 |
SAM
2 - 0
BAR
57%
24%
19%
|
79 | 73 | 6 | +1 |