Varese vs Lazio analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
48.9%
Win probability
1.31
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.4%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.5%
4-0
1.5%
5-1
0.3%
6-2
<0%
+4
1.8%
3-0
4.6%
4-1
1.2%
5-2
0.1%
+3
5.9%
2-0
10.5%
3-1
3.6%
4-2
0.5%
5-3
<0%
+2
14.6%
1-0
16%
2-1
8.3%
3-2
1.4%
4-3
0.1%
+1
25.9%
28.6%
Draw
0-0
12.2%
1-1
12.7%
2-2
3.3%
3-3
0.4%
4-4
<0%
0
28.6%
22.6%
Win probability
0.79
Expected goals
0-1
9.7%
1-2
5%
2-3
0.9%
3-4
0.1%
-1
15.6%
0-2
3.8%
1-3
1.3%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
5.3%
0-3
1%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0%
-3
1.3%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Varese
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 Apr. 1983 |
VAR
0 - 0
ATL
63%
25%
12%
|
61 | 58 | 3 | 0 |
| 17 Apr. 1983 |
COM
2 - 2
VAR
53%
27%
19%
|
61 | 64 | 3 | 0 |
| 10 Apr. 1983 |
ASS
3 - 0
VAR
48%
28%
25%
|
62 | 56 | 6 | -1 |
| 05 Apr. 1983 |
VAR
1 - 0
INT
16%
21%
63%
|
61 | 85 | 24 | +1 |
| 02 Apr. 1983 |
VAR
0 - 0
LEC
63%
24%
13%
|
61 | 58 | 3 | 0 |
Matches
Lazio
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 Apr. 1983 |
LAZ
1 - 2
PIS
60%
25%
15%
|
65 | 59 | 6 | 0 |
| 17 Apr. 1983 |
LAZ
0 - 0
USF
65%
23%
12%
|
65 | 55 | 10 | 0 |
| 10 Apr. 1983 |
LEC
0 - 0
LAZ
43%
30%
27%
|
65 | 58 | 7 | 0 |
| 02 Apr. 1983 |
PAL
0 - 0
LAZ
44%
30%
27%
|
66 | 59 | 7 | -1 |
| 27 Mar. 1983 |
LAZ
1 - 0
BAR
63%
24%
13%
|
65 | 60 | 5 | +1 |